EFL Trophy | Third Round
Jan 14, 2025 at 7pm UK
LNER Stadium
Lincoln0 - 1Bolton
Coverage of the EFL Trophy Third Round clash between Lincoln City and Bolton Wanderers.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Birmingham 2-1 Lincoln
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Saturday, January 11 at 12pm in FA Cup
Goals
for
for
28
Last Game: Rotherham 3-1 Bolton
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League One
Saturday, January 11 at 12.30pm in League One
Goals
for
for
36
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lincoln City win with a probability of 37.99%. A win for Bolton Wanderers had a probability of 34.75% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lincoln City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.16%) and 2-0 (6.83%). The likeliest Bolton Wanderers win was 0-1 (10.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.92%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lincoln City | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
37.99% ( -0.04) | 27.26% ( -0.01) | 34.75% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 50% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.53% ( 0.04) | 55.47% ( -0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.34% ( 0.03) | 76.66% ( -0.03) |
Lincoln City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.71% ( -0.01) | 28.29% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.99% ( -0.01) | 64.01% ( 0.01) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.73% ( 0.05) | 30.27% ( -0.05) |