MX23RW : Wednesday, December 11 18:53:07| >> :600:1996566:1996566:
Bolton logo
EFL Trophy | Group Stage
Nov 12, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 1
Fleetwood

Collins (26', 90+1')
Forrester (75')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Graydon (52')
Hughes (24'), Patterson (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stockport 5-0 Bolton
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League One
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 Bradford
Saturday, November 9 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

Home advantage and a determination to put things right after recent results should see Bolton claim both victory and a place in the next stage. As Fleetwood are burdened by several absences, they will not mind too much if they can be left to concentrate on their League Two campaign. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 57.53%. A win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.57% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.07%) and 1-0 (7.75%). The likeliest Fleetwood Town win was 1-2 (5.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.36%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Bolton Wanderers in this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
57.53% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08) 20.9% (0.0019999999999989 0) 21.57% (0.077000000000002 0.08)
Both teams to score 61.4% (0.106 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.91% (0.084999999999994 0.08)36.09% (-0.090000000000003 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.81% (0.094000000000001 0.09)58.19% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.57% (0.0010000000000048 0)12.43% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.65% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.35% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.12% (0.11699999999999 0.12)29.88% (-0.122 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.02% (0.14100000000001 0.14)65.98% (-0.145 -0.14)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 57.53%
    Fleetwood Town 21.57%
    Draw 20.9%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.07% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
1-0 @ 7.75% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
3-1 @ 6.78% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 5.61% (-0.022 -0.02)
3-2 @ 4.09% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 2.93% (-0.01 -0.01)
4-2 @ 2.13% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47%
5-0 @ 1.22% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
Other @ 4.2%
Total : 57.53%
1-1 @ 9.36% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.89% (0.015 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.72% (-0.016 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.65% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 20.9%
1-2 @ 5.65% (0.014 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.49% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 2.71% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.37% (0.014 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.28% (0.013 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.09% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 21.57%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
95.5%
Draw
4.5%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
44
Head to Head
Dec 29, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Fleetwood
0-2
Bolton

Wiredu (36'), Asamoah (82')
Charles (49'), Adeboyejo (83')
Thomason (41')
Aug 15, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 3
Bolton
3-1
Fleetwood
Adeboyejo (3', 14', 37')
Thomason (28'), Charles (45+1'), Ashworth (86')
Ross Evatt (11'), Charles (67')
Earl (90+3')
Johnston (10'), Broom (47'), Omochere (54'), Vela (79')
Apr 29, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 45
Bolton
2-0
Fleetwood
Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
Gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool14112129111835
2Chelsea1594235181731
3Arsenal1585229151429
4Manchester CityMan City158342721627
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest157441918125
6Aston Villa157442323025
7Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton156632522324
8Bournemouth157352320324
9Brentford157263128323
10Fulham156542220223
11Tottenham HotspurSpurs1562731191220
12Newcastle UnitedNewcastle155551921-220
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd155461918119
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham155372028-818
15Everton143561421-714
16Leicester CityLeicester153572130-914
17Crystal Palace152761420-613
18Ipswich TownIpswich151681427-139
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves1523102338-159
20Southampton1512121131-205


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!