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League One | Gameweek 45
Apr 29, 2023 at 3pm UK
University of Bolton Stadium
Fleetwood Town

Bolton
2 - 0
Fleetwood

Omochere (18' og.), Dempsey (78')
Williams (58'), Lee (64')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Vela (65'), Warrington (67'), Marriott (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Bolton Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bolton Wanderers

All competitions
Last Game: Bolton 0-1 Accrington
Tuesday, April 25 at 7.45pm in League One

Fleetwood Town

All competitions
Last Game: Fleetwood 1-0 MK Dons
Saturday, April 22 at 3pm in League One

We said: Bolton Wanderers 2-1 Fleetwood Town

 Bolton will certainly be disappointed by their midweek defeat, while Fleetwood arrive without pressure and in a positive run of form, but with the need for three points to remain in the top six, we back Evatt's side to just get over the line on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 53.44%. A draw had a probability of 25.4% and a win for Fleetwood Town had a probability of 21.14%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.57%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.62%) and 2-1 (9.35%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.94%), while for a Fleetwood Town win it was 0-1 (7.63%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bolton Wanderers would win this match.

Result
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
53.44% (0.033000000000001 0.03) 25.42% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01) 21.14% (-0.02 -0.02)
Both teams to score 46.27% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.19% (0.015000000000001 0.02)55.81% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.06% (0.012 0.01)76.94% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.09% (0.019000000000005 0.02)20.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
46.36% (0.029000000000003 0.03)53.64% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)41.49% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.01% (-0.012 -0.01)77.99% (0.013000000000005 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Bolton Wanderers 53.43%
    Fleetwood Town 21.14%
    Draw 25.41%
Bolton WanderersDrawFleetwood Town
1-0 @ 13.57%
2-0 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.35% (0.0010000000000012 0)
3-0 @ 5.54% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.88% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 2.17% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.14%
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.002 0)
Other @ 3.26%
Total : 53.43%
1-1 @ 11.94%
0-0 @ 8.68% (-0.004999999999999 -0)
2-2 @ 4.11% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 25.41%
0-1 @ 7.63% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 5.25% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.36% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
1-3 @ 1.54% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 0.99% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 1.17%
Total : 21.14%

How you voted: Bolton vs Fleetwood

Bolton Wanderers
100%
Draw
0.0%
Fleetwood Town
0.0%
8
Head to Head
Nov 19, 2022 3pm
gameweek 19
Fleetwood
1-2
Bolton
Mendes Gomes (16')
Bradley (85'), Afolayan (90+5')
Morley (45')
Apr 30, 2022 12.30pm
gameweek 46
Bolton
4-2
Fleetwood
Charles (37', 86'), John (53'), Dadi Bodvarsson (90+6')
Baggley (17'), Garner (79')
Boyle (42'), Garner (82'), Pilkington (90+2')
Dec 7, 2021 7.45pm
gameweek 21
Fleetwood
3-0
Bolton
Garner (6'), Biggins (77', 79')
Hayes (26'), McLaughlin (35')

Santos (73')
Nov 30, 2021 7pm
Second Round
Bolton
1-0
Fleetwood
Lee (34')

Biggins (54'), Clark (56'), Teale (63')
Mar 28, 2020 3pm
gameweek 40
Fleetwood
P-P
Bolton
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118
> League One Full Table


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