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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
22.54% ( 1.26) | 22.84% ( 0.06) | 54.61% ( -1.32) |
Both teams to score 55.93% ( 1.56) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
56.08% ( 1.24) | 43.92% ( -1.25) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.69% ( 1.2) | 66.3% ( -1.21) |
Burton Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.58% ( 1.87) | 33.42% ( -1.88) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.95% ( 2) | 70.04% ( -2.01) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.01% ( -0.02) | 15.99% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.69% ( -0.03) | 45.3% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Burton Albion | Draw | Bolton Wanderers |
2-1 @ 5.89% ( 0.28) 1-0 @ 5.86% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 3.21% ( 0.15) 3-1 @ 2.15% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.97% ( 0.19) 3-0 @ 1.17% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.3% Total : 22.54% | 1-1 @ 10.73% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.39% ( 0.25) 0-0 @ 5.34% ( -0.3) 3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.11) Other @ 0.16% Total : 22.84% | 1-2 @ 9.84% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 9.79% ( -0.55) 0-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.51) 1-3 @ 6.01% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 5.49% ( -0.31) 2-3 @ 3.3% ( 0.15) 1-4 @ 2.76% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.14) 2-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.07) 1-5 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.49% Total : 54.61% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 24 | 17 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 17 | 25 | 56 |
2 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 52 | 28 | 24 | 54 |
3 | Wrexham | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 38 | 20 | 18 | 51 |
4 | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 25 | 14 | 6 | 5 | 39 | 21 | 18 | 48 |
5 | Barnsley | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 42 |
6 | Stockport CountyStockport | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 40 | 28 | 12 | 41 |
7 | Reading | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 40 | 36 | 4 | 41 |
8 | Leyton Orient | 25 | 11 | 5 | 9 | 32 | 22 | 10 | 38 |
9 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 39 | 41 | -2 | 38 |
10 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 25 | 10 | 7 | 8 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 37 |
11 | Mansfield TownMansfield | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 37 |
12 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 26 | 9 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 30 | -1 | 35 |
13 | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 34 |
14 | Exeter CityExeter | 26 | 9 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 33 | -4 | 32 |
15 | Blackpool | 25 | 7 | 10 | 8 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 31 |
16 | Stevenage | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 19 | 22 | -3 | 31 |
17 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 25 | 8 | 6 | 11 | 24 | 26 | -2 | 30 |
18 | Bristol Rovers | 25 | 8 | 4 | 13 | 25 | 39 | -14 | 28 |
19 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 27 |
20 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 24 | 40 | -16 | 26 |
21 | Crawley TownCrawley | 24 | 5 | 6 | 13 | 25 | 44 | -19 | 21 |
22 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 25 | 5 | 5 | 15 | 26 | 45 | -19 | 20 |
23 | Burton Albion | 26 | 3 | 9 | 14 | 23 | 40 | -17 | 18 |
24 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 25 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 24 | 45 | -21 | 18 |
> League One Full Table |