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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Bolton logo

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Bolton

Walker (59')
Powell (55')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Adeboyejo (5')
Williams (90+5')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Bolton Wanderers, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Burton Albion 3-2 Sheff Weds
Saturday, April 15 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 1-1 Bolton Wanderers

Burton have hugely improved as the season has worn on, and we expect Maamria's side to prove extremly difficult to beat once again on Tuesday. With Bolton having three consecutive home fixtures to come after this trip to the Midlands, the visitors may be more than content with getting out of the Pirelli Stadium with a point. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.61%. A draw had a probability of 22.8% and a win for Burton Albion had a probability of 22.54%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.79%) and 0-2 (8.98%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.73%), while for a Burton Albion win it was 2-1 (5.89%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
22.54% (1.259 1.26) 22.84% (0.057000000000002 0.06) 54.61% (-1.323 -1.32)
Both teams to score 55.93% (1.564 1.56)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.08% (1.24 1.24)43.92% (-1.246 -1.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.69% (1.198 1.2)66.3% (-1.205 -1.21)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.58% (1.873 1.87)33.42% (-1.879 -1.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.95% (2.003 2)70.04% (-2.01 -2.01)
Bolton Wanderers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)15.99% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)45.3% (0.025999999999996 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 22.54%
    Bolton Wanderers 54.61%
    Draw 22.84%
Burton AlbionDrawBolton Wanderers
2-1 @ 5.89% (0.277 0.28)
1-0 @ 5.86% (-0.016 -0.02)
2-0 @ 3.21% (0.152 0.15)
3-1 @ 2.15% (0.203 0.2)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.186 0.19)
3-0 @ 1.17% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 22.54%
1-1 @ 10.73% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
2-2 @ 5.39% (0.251 0.25)
0-0 @ 5.34% (-0.295 -0.3)
3-3 @ 1.2% (0.112 0.11)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 9.84% (-0.035 -0.04)
0-1 @ 9.79% (-0.546 -0.55)
0-2 @ 8.98% (-0.506 -0.51)
1-3 @ 6.01% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
0-3 @ 5.49% (-0.312 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.3% (0.152 0.15)
1-4 @ 2.76% (-0.013 -0.01)
0-4 @ 2.52% (-0.144 -0.14)
2-4 @ 1.51% (0.069 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (-0.0050000000000001 -0.01)
0-5 @ 0.92% (-0.053 -0.05)
Other @ 2.49%
Total : 54.61%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Bolton

Burton Albion
57.1%
Draw
19.0%
Bolton Wanderers
23.8%
21
Head to Head
Oct 25, 2022 7.45pm
Feb 15, 2022 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-1
Bolton
Powell (11'), Brayford (14', 18')
Mancienne (55')
Charles (90+4')
Williams (68')
Sep 6, 2021 8pm
Bolton
0-0
Burton Albion

Williams (36'), Evatt (90+5'), Johnston (90+5')

Hamer (9'), Akins (19'), Brayford (69'), Shaughnessy (80')
Brayford (86')
Mar 10, 2020 7.45pm
Burton Albion
2-2
Bolton
Murphy (28', 65')
Sbarra (90')
Delaney (20'), Hamilton (38')
Nsiala (34')
Jan 1, 2020 3pm
Bolton
3-4
Burton Albion
Dodoo (5'), Murphy (11'), Politic (84')
Murphy (29'), Buckley (75')
Murphy (49')
Templeton (13'), Akins (26', 45'), Boyce (81')
Fraser (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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