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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
2 - 5
Peterborough

Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Hughes (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United

 Burton have the fourth-worst home record in League One this season, and it is difficult to back them at the moment due to their recent struggles. Peterborough have actually lost eight of their 13 away league games this term, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
30.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 25.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 44.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)22.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.05%
    Peterborough United 44.14%
    Draw 25.79%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Peterborough United
52.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
1-1
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (47')
Adeboyejo (75')
Brayford (60')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
 Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Peterborough
Brayford (65')
O'Toole (29')
Eisa (52')
Thompson (70'), Dembele (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham1292123111229
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe1282226161026
3Wrexham1374221101125
4Mansfield TownMansfield127322014624
5Lincoln CityLincoln137332016424
6Bolton WanderersBolton137242219323
7Huddersfield TownHuddersfield137151912722
8Barnsley136432118322
9Reading137152120122
10Stockport CountyStockport135622012821
11Exeter CityExeter126151310319
12Charlton AthleticCharlton135441514119
13Peterborough UnitedPeterborough145362526-118
14Rotherham UnitedRotherham144551416-217
15Stevenage145271015-517
16Blackpool134452125-416
17Bristol Rovers135171520-516
18Northampton TownNorthampton134361720-315
19Wigan AthleticWigan133551211114
20Leyton Orient133281118-711
21Cambridge UnitedCambridge123181117-610
22Crawley TownCrawley133191225-1310
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury1422101325-128
24Burton Albion120481325-124
> League One Full Table


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