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League One
Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 26
Mar 14, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Peterborough United

Burton Albion
2 - 5
Peterborough

Powell (28'), Smith (54')
Hughes (67')
FT(HT: 1-3)
Clarke-Harris (12', 51'), Mason-Clark (19'), Burrows (38'), Ward (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Peterborough United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Burton Albion

All competitions
Last Game: Burton Albion 2-1 Wycombe
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

Peterborough United

All competitions
Last Game: Peterborough 0-3 Cheltenham
Saturday, March 11 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion 0-1 Peterborough United

 Burton have the fourth-worst home record in League One this season, and it is difficult to back them at the moment due to their recent struggles. Peterborough have actually lost eight of their 13 away league games this term, but we just have a feeling that the visitors will be able to secure a narrow victory here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Peterborough United win with a probability of 44.14%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.05% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Peterborough United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.03%) and 0-2 (7.73%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (8.33%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-5 was predicted with a 0.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Peterborough United would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
30.05% (0.023999999999997 0.02) 25.8% (0.010000000000002 0.01) 44.14% (-0.032000000000004 -0.03)
Both teams to score 53.1% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.16% (-0.022000000000006 -0.02)50.84% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.28% (-0.019000000000002 -0.02)72.72% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.09% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.58% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)67.42% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)
Peterborough United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.05% (-0.024999999999991 -0.02)22.95% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.28% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)56.72% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 30.05%
    Peterborough United 44.14%
    Draw 25.79%
Burton AlbionDrawPeterborough United
1-0 @ 8.33% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.17% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 4.87% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.79% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-2 @ 2.05%
3-0 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 30.05%
1-1 @ 12.26%
0-0 @ 7.13% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.28% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-3 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.79%
0-1 @ 10.5%
1-2 @ 9.03% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
0-2 @ 7.73% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-3 @ 3.79% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.63% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.09%
Total : 44.14%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Peterborough

Burton Albion
36.8%
Draw
10.5%
Peterborough United
52.6%
38
Head to Head
Oct 8, 2022 3pm
Peterborough
1-1
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (47')
Adeboyejo (75')
Brayford (60')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Burton Albion
2-1
Peterborough
Hemmings (54'), Carter (58')
Smith (6'), Brayford (68'), Carter (90+3')
Burrows (90+4')
Beevers (57')
Oct 27, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
2-2
Burton Albion
Clarke-Harris (10'), Ward (48')
Mason (89')
Hemmings (32', 60')
Gilligan (58'), Akins (62'), O'Toole (71')
Sep 8, 2020 7pm
Peterborough
3-3
Burton Albion
 Peterborough win 5-4 on penalties
Clarke (3'), Reed (23'), Mason (68')
Reed (90'), Hamilton (90+6')
Lawless (44'), Powell (52', 55')
Wallace (77')
Feb 29, 2020 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Peterborough
Brayford (65')
O'Toole (29')
Eisa (52')
Thompson (70'), Dembele (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122
> League One Full Table


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