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Burton Albion
League One | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Exeter City

Burton Albion
1 - 0
Exeter

Winnall (84')
Kirk (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Stansfield (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Burton Albion and Exeter City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Exeter 1-2 Charlton
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in League One

We said: Burton Albion X-Y Exeter City

Prediction justification text here Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 42.8%. A win for Exeter City had a probability of 32.42% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.85%) and 2-0 (6.84%). The likeliest Exeter City win was 1-2 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.63%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Burton Albion would win this match.

Result
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
42.8% (-0.619 -0.62) 24.79% (0.172 0.17) 32.42% (0.45 0.45)
Both teams to score 57.56% (-0.411 -0.41)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.49% (-0.617 -0.62)45.51% (0.619 0.62)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.16% (-0.591 -0.59)67.84% (0.593 0.59)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.7% (-0.53999999999999 -0.54)21.31% (0.543 0.54)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.75% (-0.843 -0.84)54.25% (0.847 0.85)
Exeter City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.14% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)26.86% (0.020999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.83% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)62.17% (0.029000000000003 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Burton Albion 42.8%
    Exeter City 32.42%
    Draw 24.78%
Burton AlbionDrawExeter City
2-1 @ 8.99% (-0.063999999999998 -0.06)
1-0 @ 8.85% (0.088000000000001 0.09)
2-0 @ 6.84% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-0 @ 3.53% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 3.05% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-1 @ 1.79% (-0.074 -0.07)
4-0 @ 1.36% (-0.055 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.18% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.58%
Total : 42.8%
1-1 @ 11.63% (0.11 0.11)
2-2 @ 5.91% (-0.046 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.72% (0.15 0.15)
3-3 @ 1.34% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 24.78%
1-2 @ 7.65% (0.066999999999999 0.07)
0-1 @ 7.52% (0.193 0.19)
0-2 @ 4.95% (0.124 0.12)
1-3 @ 3.35% (0.028 0.03)
2-3 @ 2.59% (-0.021 -0.02)
0-3 @ 2.17% (0.054 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.1% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 32.42%

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Exeter

Burton Albion
58.3%
Draw
33.3%
Exeter City
8.3%
12
Head to Head
Jul 22, 2016 7.30pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Exeter
1-0
Burton Albion
Watkins (56')
Dec 6, 2014 7.45pm
Aug 19, 2014 7.45pm
Feb 1, 2014 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Wycombe WanderersWycombe20135243222144
2Birmingham CityBirmingham18133234161842
3Wrexham21126331141742
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley1954102032-1219
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012


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