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Fleetwood Town
League One | Gameweek 30
Feb 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Highbury Stadium
Burton Albion

Fleetwood
2 - 3
Burton Albion

Stockley (58'), Omochere (90+4')
Vela (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Oshilaja (60'), Hamer (80'), Kirk (90+6')
Ashworth (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's League One clash between Fleetwood Town and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Fleetwood Town 1-1 Burton Albion

Games involving Fleetwood Town always seem to be tight affairs, and that is why we expect them to play out a draw against Burton Albion on Saturday. The Brewers were very impressive in their victory against Oxford United last time out, but the sides are very evenly-matched, and it is unlikely either team runs away with it. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fleetwood Town win with a probability of 44.26%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 30.13% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fleetwood Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.07%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 0-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood.

Result
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
44.26% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05) 25.61% (0.016000000000002 0.02) 30.13% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Both teams to score 53.76% (-0.041999999999994 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50% (-0.062000000000005 -0.06)49.99% (0.061 0.06)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.02% (-0.056000000000001 -0.06)71.97% (0.054000000000002 0.05)
Fleetwood Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.47% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)22.53% (0.047999999999998 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.89% (-0.071999999999996 -0.07)56.11% (0.07 0.07)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.39% (-0.012 -0.01)30.61% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.16% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01)66.84% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Fleetwood Town 44.25%
    Burton Albion 30.13%
    Draw 25.6%
Fleetwood TownDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.27% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.07% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
2-0 @ 7.66% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 4.5% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-0 @ 3.8% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-2 @ 2.67% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.68% (-0.006 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 2.19%
Total : 44.25%
1-1 @ 12.16% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.9% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 5.37% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-3 @ 1.05% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.6%
0-1 @ 8.16% (0.017999999999999 0.02)
1-2 @ 7.2% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.83% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
1-3 @ 2.84% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 2.12% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.91% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 30.13%

Head to Head
Oct 4, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 12, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Fleetwood
Niasse (61', 90'), Moult (84')
Hamer (37')
Oshilaja (18' og.), Butterworth (57')
Nsiala (14'), Garner (36')
Nov 6, 2021 3pm
First Round
Fleetwood
1-2
Burton Albion
Garner (12')
Clarke (70')
Powell (14'), Jebbison (77')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Burton Albion
5-2
Fleetwood
Akins (35'), Powell (39'), Hamer (73'), Hemmings (85', 90+5')
Earl (27'), Hemmings (74'), Taylor (78')
Finley (62'), Rossiter (90+2')
Biggins (45+4')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham24175242172556
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe26166452282454
3Wrexham26156538201851
4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield25146539211848
5Barnsley2612684036442
6Stockport CountyStockport26118740281241
7Reading2512584036441
8Leyton Orient25115932221038
9Bolton WanderersBolton26115103941-238
10Charlton AthleticCharlton2510783126537
11Mansfield TownMansfield2411493228437
12Lincoln CityLincoln269892930-135
13Rotherham UnitedRotherham259792826234
14Exeter CityExeter2695122933-432
15Blackpool2571083437-331
16Stevenage248791922-331
17Wigan AthleticWigan2586112426-230
18Bristol Rovers2584132539-1428
19Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2676134247-527
20Northampton TownNorthampton2668122440-1626
21Crawley TownCrawley2456132544-1921
22Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2555152645-1920
23Burton Albion2639142340-1718
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2546152445-2118


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