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League One
Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2023 at 3pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Burton Albion

Morecambe
5 - 0
Burton Albion

Phillips (32', 55'), Weir (45+1'), Watts (51', 83')
Watts (66')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Taylor (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's League One clash between Morecambe and Burton Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Morecambe

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Morecambe 2-0 Accrington
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

Burton Albion

All competitions
League One
Last Game: Forest Green 1-2 Burton Albion
Thursday, December 29 at 7.45pm in League One

We said: Morecambe 1-1 Burton Albion

 Having wrapped up the year with two consecutive victories, Burton Albion will head into 2023 with renewed confidence as they look to pull clear of the drop zone. Morecambe also appear to have also hit their stride and we predict that both sides will cancel out each other's efforts and settle for a share of the spoils. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Burton Albion win with a probability of 39.73%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 32.68% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Burton Albion win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.28%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (10.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.02%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
32.68% (0.022000000000006 0.02) 27.59% (0.014999999999997 0.01) 39.73% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 48.62% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.97% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)57.03% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.08% (-0.042999999999999 -0.04)77.92% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.57% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)32.43% (0.015000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.05% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)68.95% (0.016999999999996 0.02)
Burton Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.96% (-0.043000000000006 -0.04)28.04% (0.045999999999999 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.31% (-0.055 -0.05)63.69% (0.059000000000005 0.06)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 32.68%
    Burton Albion 39.73%
    Draw 27.59%
MorecambeDrawBurton Albion
1-0 @ 10.24% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.33%
2-0 @ 5.77% (0.008 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.75% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 2.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 1.75% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 32.68%
1-1 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.09% (0.019 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.66% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 27.59%
0-1 @ 11.56% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 8.28% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.35% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 3.51% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 3.12% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (-0.006 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.12% (-0.004 -0)
0-4 @ 0.99% (-0.003 -0)
Other @ 1.84%
Total : 39.73%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Burton Albion

Morecambe
34.6%
Draw
34.6%
Burton Albion
30.8%
26
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 3pm
Burton Albion
1-1
Morecambe
Keillor-Dunn (30')
Delaney (77')
Connolly (23')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Morecambe
3-0
Burton Albion
Gnahoua (41'), Phillips (45+5'), Stockton (46')
Connolly (28')

Oshilaja (71')
Shaughnessy (43')
Oct 15, 2021 7.45pm
Burton Albion
3-2
Morecambe
O'Connor (5', 49'), Shaughnessy (14')
Hamer (34'), Chapman (57'), Mancienne (78'), Oshilaja (78')
Gibson (3'), Stockton (90+4')
Gibson (90')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Second Round
Burton Albion
4-0
Morecambe
Boyce (34', 45', 74'), Edwards (51')
Daniel (19')

Brewitt (58')
Apr 18, 2015 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Burton Albion
Hughes (90')
Kenyon (8'), Ellison (40'), Arestidou (60')
Akins (30', 60')
Edwards (87')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
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1Birmingham CityBirmingham19143235161945
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4Huddersfield TownHuddersfield20123534181639
5Stockport CountyStockport21106534221236
6Lincoln CityLincoln218762825331
7Reading209473030031
8Bolton WanderersBolton199462829-131
9Barnsley218672930-130
10Mansfield TownMansfield198472322128
11Charlton AthleticCharlton207672319427
12Blackpool207672931-227
13Exeter CityExeter208391922-327
14Stevenage197571517-226
15Leyton Orient207492320325
16Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2073103837124
17Wigan AthleticWigan206681918124
18Rotherham UnitedRotherham196581921-223
19Bristol Rovers2064101829-1122
20Northampton TownNorthampton2156102134-1321
21Crawley TownCrawley2054112033-1319
22Cambridge UnitedCambridge2045112035-1517
23Burton Albion2026121732-1512
24Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2033142141-2012
> League One Full Table


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