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Morecambe
League One | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Mazuma Stadium
Accrington Stanley

Morecambe
2 - 0
Accrington

Shaw (34'), Weir (43')
Bedeau (65')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Pritchard (57'), Rodgers (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's League One clash between Morecambe and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Morecambe 1-2 Accrington Stanley

Morecambe may be winless in 11 games in all competitions, but they have avoided defeat in their last four home games, and with their previous three home matches finishing all square, we think that they will playing out another draw on Thursday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 45.83%. A win for Morecambe had a probability of 28.88% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.23%) and 0-2 (7.91%). The likeliest Morecambe win was 1-0 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 4.6% likelihood.

Result
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
28.88% (0.116 0.12) 25.29% (-0.012 -0.01) 45.83% (-0.106 -0.11)
Both teams to score 54.05% (0.113 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.72% (0.112 0.11)49.28% (-0.11499999999999 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.66% (0.101 0.1)71.33% (-0.104 -0.1)
Morecambe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (0.14400000000001 0.14)31.14% (-0.147 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (0.167 0.17)67.47% (-0.17 -0.17)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.49% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)21.51% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.43% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)54.56% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Score Analysis
    Morecambe 28.88%
    Accrington Stanley 45.82%
    Draw 25.28%
MorecambeDrawAccrington Stanley
1-0 @ 7.81% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-1 @ 7.01% (0.023 0.02)
2-0 @ 4.56% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 2.72% (0.02 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.09% (0.015 0.02)
3-0 @ 1.77% (0.013 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 28.88%
1-1 @ 12% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 6.7% (-0.032 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.38% (0.018 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 25.28%
0-1 @ 10.29% (-0.050000000000001 -0.05)
1-2 @ 9.23% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
0-2 @ 7.91% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 4.73% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 4.05% (-0.019 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.76% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.82% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.56% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.06% (0.0029999999999999 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 45.82%

How you voted: Morecambe vs Accrington

Morecambe
25.0%
Draw
25.0%
Accrington Stanley
50.0%
16
Head to Head
Oct 1, 2022 3pm
Accrington
3-1
Morecambe
Coyle (58'), Hamilton (82'), Leigh (85')
Astley (77' og.)
Gibson (28')
Jan 29, 2022 3pm
Accrington
2-2
Morecambe
Bishop (35'), Nottingham (45+4')
Bagueloc'rich (85'), Butcher (88')
Ayunga (14', 26')
Diagouraga (38'), Carson (74')
Sep 25, 2021 3pm
Morecambe
3-3
Accrington
Stockton (15', 81'), Phillips (27')
Gibson (19')
McLoughlin (38')
Bishop (19' pen., 68'), Butcher (21')
Hamilton (39')
Mar 6, 2018 7.45pm
Accrington
1-0
Morecambe
Kee (45' pen.)
Brown (63'), Jackson (67')

Rose (73'), Old (85')
Sep 2, 2017 3pm
Morecambe
1-2
Accrington
Ellison (95')
Brough (60'), Campbell (62'), Muller (76')
Oliver (57')
Kee (31'), Clark (90')
Jackson (63')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Birmingham CityBirmingham27196246192763
2Wycombe WanderersWycombe29178455302559
3Wrexham29167643251855
4Stockport CountyStockport29148744281650
5Huddersfield TownHuddersfield28146841261548
6Leyton Orient281351040251544
7Charlton AthleticCharlton2812883628844
8Reading28135104341244
9Bolton WanderersBolton29135114343044
10Barnsley29127104139243
11Stevenage2711792725240
12Lincoln CityLincoln29109103534139
13Blackpool2891184140138
14Mansfield TownMansfield27114123534137
15Rotherham UnitedRotherham28107113333037
16Wigan AthleticWigan2897122728-134
17Exeter CityExeter2995153346-1332
18Peterborough UnitedPeterborough2886144452-830
19Northampton TownNorthampton2979132845-1730
20Bristol Rovers2784152543-1828
21Burton Albion29510143044-1425
22Crawley TownCrawley2766152748-2124
23Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury2865172848-2023
24Cambridge UnitedCambridge2857162950-2122


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