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Grimsby Town
EFL Trophy | Second Round
Nov 22, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Blundell Park
Accrington Stanley

Grimsby Town
0 - 1
Accrington


Morris (65'), Smith (89')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Leigh (66' pen.)
Whalley (56'), Rodgers (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Trophy clash between Grimsby Town and Accrington Stanley, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Grimsby Town

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Grimsby Town 1-1 Stevenage
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League Two

Accrington Stanley

All competitions
EFL Trophy
Last Game: Cambridge 0-1 Accrington
Saturday, November 19 at 3pm in League One

We said: Grimsby Town 2-1 Accrington Stanley

 Looking at past results between the sides, we anticipate a thrilling contest with plenty of goalmouth action. Grimsby Town have been solid in front of their home fans in recent weeks and we predict they will do just enough to come away victorious on Tuesday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Accrington Stanley win with a probability of 38%. A win for Grimsby Town had a probability of 37.11% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for an Accrington Stanley win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.15%) and 0-2 (5.91%). The likeliest Grimsby Town win was 2-1 (8.32%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.64%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Accrington Stanley would win this match.

Result
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
37.11% (0.024000000000001 0.02) 24.88% (0.0010000000000012 0) 38% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.18% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.88% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)45.12% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.53% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)67.47% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Grimsby Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.04% (0.010999999999996 0.01)23.96% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.8% (0.012999999999998 0.01)58.19% (-0.012 -0.01)
Accrington Stanley Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.51% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)23.48% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.48% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)57.51% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Grimsby Town 37.11%
    Accrington Stanley 38%
    Draw 24.88%
Grimsby TownDrawAccrington Stanley
2-1 @ 8.32% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 8.04% (0.0039999999999996 0)
2-0 @ 5.74% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 3.96% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-2 @ 2.87% (0.00099999999999989 0)
3-0 @ 2.74% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.42% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.03%
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.02%
Total : 37.11%
1-1 @ 11.64%
2-2 @ 6.03%
0-0 @ 5.63% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.39% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 24.88%
1-2 @ 8.44% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-1 @ 8.15% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 5.91% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 4.08% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-3 @ 2.91% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.85% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.002 -0)
2-4 @ 1.05% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 1.03% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.11%
Total : 38%

How you voted: Grimsby Town vs Accrington

Grimsby Town
52.2%
Draw
26.1%
Accrington Stanley
21.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 30, 2017 3pm
Grimsby Town
0-3
Accrington

Davies (22'), Matt (73')
Kee (56' pen.), McConville (61'), Jackson (77')
Jackson (31'), Brown (37')
Sep 12, 2017 7.45pm
Accrington
1-2
Grimsby Town
Jackson (45')
Hughes (65'), Wilks (90')
Jones (43'), Woolford (47')
Davies (12'), Matt (57'), Dembele (73')
Mar 25, 2017 3pm
Accrington
1-1
Grimsby Town
McCartan (89')
Asante (70')
Gunning (87')
Dec 26, 2016 3pm
Grimsby Town
2-0
Accrington
Bolarinwa (32'), Chambers (88')
Bogle (50'), Andrew (68')

O'Sullivan (62'), Pearson (81')
Apr 5, 2010 3pm
Accrington
2-3
Grimsby Town
Symes (44'), Kee (38')
Hudson (56'), Devitt (61'), Coulson (59')
rhs 2.0
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