National League South | Gameweek 27
Jan 18, 2025 at 3pm UK
Melbourne Cricket Ground
Chelmsford City2 - 1Hornchurch
Wilkinson (17', 73')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Wood (86')
Coverage of the National League South clash between Chelmsford City and AFC Hornchurch.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Enfield Town 2-1 Chelmsford City
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
38
Last Game: Truro City 2-1 Hornchurch
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Saturday, January 4 at 3pm in National League South
Goals
for
for
26
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelmsford City win with a probability of 47.25%. A win for AFC Hornchurch had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Chelmsford City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.31%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.25%) and 2-0 (8.56%). The likeliest AFC Hornchurch win was 0-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Chelmsford City would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Chelmsford City | Draw | AFC Hornchurch |
47.25% ( 0.22) | 25.69% ( -0.1) | 27.06% ( -0.11) |
| Both teams to score 51.51% ( 0.24) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
