Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Southend United win with a probability of 46.72%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 29.07% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Southend United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.
Result | ||
Southend United | Draw | Barnet |
46.72% ( -0.41) | 24.22% ( 0.02) | 29.07% ( 0.39) |
Both teams to score 57.74% ( 0.2) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.5% ( 0.15) | 44.5% ( -0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.13% ( 0.14) | 66.87% ( -0.14) |
Southend United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.82% ( -0.11) | 19.18% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.14% ( -0.19) | 50.86% ( 0.18) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.44% ( 0.35) | 28.56% ( -0.35) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.65% ( 0.44) | 64.35% ( -0.44) |
Score Analysis |
Southend United | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.03) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.47% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 5.15% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.11% ( -0.07) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( -0) Other @ 3.2% Total : 46.72% | 1-1 @ 11.33% 2-2 @ 5.86% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.21% | 1-2 @ 7.1% ( 0.07) 0-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.3% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.97% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.8% ( 0.04) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.65% Total : 29.07% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Barnet | 30 | 19 | 6 | 5 | 60 | 30 | 30 | 63 |
2 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 29 | 16 | 11 | 2 | 48 | 22 | 26 | 59 |
3 | York City | 28 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 54 | 26 | 28 | 57 |
4 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 28 | 14 | 9 | 5 | 46 | 30 | 16 | 51 |
5 | Gateshead | 28 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 51 | 36 | 15 | 49 |
6 | Halifax TownHalifax | 28 | 12 | 9 | 7 | 34 | 26 | 8 | 45 |
7 | Rochdale | 25 | 13 | 3 | 9 | 38 | 22 | 16 | 42 |
8 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 27 | 11 | 9 | 7 | 44 | 32 | 12 | 42 |
9 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 46 | 41 | 5 | 42 |
10 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 28 | 11 | 8 | 9 | 39 | 36 | 3 | 41 |
11 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 28 | 10 | 9 | 9 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 39 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 29 | 9 | 12 | 8 | 34 | 35 | -1 | 39 |
13 | Eastleigh | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 36 | 1 | 38 |
14 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 35 | -2 | 38 |
15 | Tamworth | 28 | 10 | 7 | 11 | 32 | 44 | -12 | 37 |
16 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 28 | 8 | 8 | 12 | 41 | 40 | 1 | 32 |
17 | Woking | 28 | 7 | 10 | 11 | 29 | 39 | -10 | 31 |
18 | Braintree TownBraintree | 29 | 8 | 7 | 14 | 28 | 39 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 28 | 6 | 12 | 10 | 42 | 48 | -6 | 30 |
20 | Fylde | 29 | 8 | 4 | 17 | 35 | 59 | -24 | 28 |
21 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 28 | 5 | 11 | 12 | 32 | 42 | -10 | 26 |
22 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 35 | 57 | -22 | 26 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 26 | 4 | 7 | 15 | 24 | 44 | -20 | 19 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 30 | 1 | 9 | 20 | 21 | 67 | -46 | 12 |
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