Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hartlepool United win with a probability of 37.93%. A win for Barnet had a probability of 36.98% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hartlepool United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.37%) and 2-0 (5.98%). The likeliest Barnet win was 1-2 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.79%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 5.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hartlepool United | Draw | Barnet |
37.93% ( 0.22) | 25.09% ( 0.06) | 36.98% ( -0.28) |
Both teams to score 57.44% ( -0.23) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.93% ( -0.29) | 46.07% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.63% ( -0.28) | 68.37% ( 0.28) |
Hartlepool United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.05% ( -0.02) | 23.95% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.81% ( -0.02) | 58.18% ( 0.03) |
Barnet Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.54% ( -0.28) | 24.46% ( 0.29) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.09% ( -0.4) | 58.91% ( 0.41) |
Score Analysis |
Hartlepool United | Draw | Barnet |
2-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 8.37% ( 0.1) 2-0 @ 5.98% ( 0.07) 3-1 @ 4.01% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.85% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2% Total : 37.93% | 1-1 @ 11.79% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 5.93% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.86% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.18% Total : 25.09% | 1-2 @ 8.3% ( -0.04) 0-1 @ 8.25% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.9% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 2.78% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 2.73% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.9% Total : 36.98% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Forest Green RoversForest Green | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 44 | 21 | 23 | 52 |
2 | York City | 24 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 48 | 20 | 28 | 51 |
3 | Barnet | 26 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 51 | 30 | 21 | 51 |
4 | Gateshead | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 50 | 35 | 15 | 47 |
5 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 23 | 12 | 8 | 3 | 41 | 23 | 18 | 44 |
6 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 41 |
7 | Rochdale | 22 | 12 | 3 | 7 | 34 | 20 | 14 | 39 |
8 | Halifax TownHalifax | 25 | 10 | 9 | 6 | 29 | 24 | 5 | 39 |
9 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 41 | 30 | 11 | 38 |
10 | Eastleigh | 26 | 9 | 11 | 6 | 36 | 33 | 3 | 38 |
11 | Yeovil TownYeovil | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 31 | 30 | 1 | 36 |
13 | Sutton UnitedSutton | 25 | 9 | 7 | 9 | 34 | 33 | 1 | 34 |
14 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 29 | 27 | 2 | 33 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 25 | 8 | 8 | 9 | 40 | 34 | 6 | 32 |
16 | Tamworth | 24 | 8 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 30 |
17 | Woking | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 27 | 37 | -10 | 29 |
18 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 26 | 5 | 11 | 10 | 37 | 45 | -8 | 26 |
19 | Braintree TownBraintree | 26 | 6 | 6 | 14 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 24 |
20 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 23 | 5 | 8 | 10 | 28 | 35 | -7 | 23 |
21 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 31 | 53 | -22 | 23 |
22 | Fylde | 24 | 6 | 4 | 14 | 29 | 50 | -21 | 22 |
23 | Boston UnitedBoston | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 40 | -19 | 16 |
24 | Ebbsfleet | 27 | 1 | 8 | 18 | 20 | 63 | -43 | 11 |
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