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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 87.32%. A draw had a probability of 8.7% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 4.02%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 3-0 with a probability of 11.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.27%) and 4-0 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.01%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.31%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 5-0 win for Bayern Munich in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Bayern Munich.
Result | ||
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
87.32% ( 0.11) | 8.65% ( -0.08) | 4.02% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 46.26% ( 0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
76.14% ( 0.26) | 23.86% ( -0.26) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
56.58% ( 0.35) | 43.41% ( -0.35) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
96.46% ( 0.06) | 3.53% ( -0.06) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
84.66% ( 0.19) | 15.34% ( -0.19) |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
47.96% ( 0.08) | 52.04% ( -0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
13.97% ( 0.06) | 86.03% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Bayern Munich | Draw | Hoffenheim |
3-0 @ 11.44% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 10.27% ( -0.08) 4-0 @ 9.57% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 7.48% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 6.71% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 6.4% ( 0.04) 4-1 @ 6.25% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 6.14% ( -0.08) 5-1 @ 4.18% ( 0.04) 6-0 @ 3.57% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.44% ( 0) 6-1 @ 2.33% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 7-0 @ 1.7% ( 0.03) 5-2 @ 1.37% ( 0.02) 7-1 @ 1.11% ( 0.02) Other @ 4.32% Total : 87.31% | 1-1 @ 4.01% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 2.19% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 1.84% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.61% Total : 8.65% | 1-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 1.2% ( -0.02) Other @ 1.51% Total : 4.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 18 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 56 | 15 | 41 | 45 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 18 | 12 | 5 | 1 | 44 | 24 | 20 | 41 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 18 | 11 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 36 |
4 | Stuttgart | 18 | 9 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 26 | 10 | 32 |
5 | RB Leipzig | 18 | 9 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 27 | 5 | 31 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 18 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 28 |
7 | Wolfsburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 8 | 27 |
8 | Freiburg | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 34 | -9 | 27 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 18 | 7 | 5 | 6 | 31 | 34 | -3 | 26 |
10 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 18 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 1 | 25 |
11 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 18 | 7 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 29 | -2 | 24 |
12 | Augsburg | 18 | 6 | 4 | 8 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 22 |
13 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 18 | 5 | 5 | 8 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 20 |
14 | St Pauli | 18 | 5 | 2 | 11 | 14 | 21 | -7 | 17 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 18 | 4 | 5 | 9 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
16 | Heidenheim | 18 | 4 | 2 | 12 | 23 | 38 | -15 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 18 | 3 | 2 | 13 | 26 | 46 | -20 | 11 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 18 | 2 | 4 | 12 | 17 | 40 | -23 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |