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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a RB Leipzig win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 35% and a draw had a probability of 22.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a RB Leipzig win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (5.65%) and 1-3 (5.22%). The likeliest Hoffenheim win was 2-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.3%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
35% (![]() | 22.25% (![]() | 42.75% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.83% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
67.55% (![]() | 32.44% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.92% (![]() | 54.08% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.72% (![]() | 19.28% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.98% (![]() | 51.02% (![]() |
RB Leipzig Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
84.03% (![]() | 15.96% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
54.74% (![]() | 45.26% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | RB Leipzig |
2-1 @ 7.65% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.07% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 4.2% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 4.17% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 2.29% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 1.73% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 0.97% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 0.94% ( ![]() Other @ 2.55% Total : 35% | 1-1 @ 9.3% (![]() 2-2 @ 7.02% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.08% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.36% ( ![]() Other @ 0.5% Total : 22.25% | 1-2 @ 8.53% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.65% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 5.22% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 5.18% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 4.29% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 3.17% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 2.39% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.97% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 1.45% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 1.08% ( ![]() Other @ 3.81% Total : 42.75% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Bayern MunichBayern | 20 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 62 | 19 | 43 | 51 |
2 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 20 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 45 |
3 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 45 | 27 | 18 | 38 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 20 | 9 | 6 | 5 | 34 | 29 | 5 | 33 |
5 | Stuttgart | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 30 | 7 | 32 |
6 | Mainz 05Mainz | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 31 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 32 | 30 | 2 | 30 |
8 | Werder Bremen | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 36 | -2 | 30 |
9 | Freiburg | 20 | 9 | 3 | 8 | 27 | 36 | -9 | 30 |
10 | Wolfsburg | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 29 |
11 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 36 | 34 | 2 | 29 |
12 | Augsburg | 20 | 7 | 5 | 8 | 24 | 35 | -11 | 26 |
13 | St Pauli | 20 | 6 | 3 | 11 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 21 |
14 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 20 | 5 | 6 | 9 | 16 | 27 | -11 | 21 |
15 | Hoffenheim | 20 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 26 | 40 | -14 | 18 |
16 | Heidenheim | 20 | 4 | 2 | 14 | 25 | 42 | -17 | 14 |
17 | Holstein Kiel | 20 | 3 | 3 | 14 | 31 | 52 | -21 | 12 |
18 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 20 | 2 | 4 | 14 | 17 | 44 | -27 | 10 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |