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Borussia Monchengladbach logo
Eintracht Frankfurt logo
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Heidenheim
Hoffenheim logo
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Stuttgart
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VfL Bochum
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Wolfsburg
Stuttgart
Bundesliga | Gameweek 6
Oct 6, 2024 at 6.30pm UK
Mercedes-Benz-Arena
Hoffenheim logo

Stuttgart
1 - 1
Hoffenheim

Demirovic (90+9')
Mittelstadt (26')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Gendrey (45')
Bischof (45+3'), Grillitsch (55'), Kramaric (66'), Chaves (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Stuttgart and Hoffenheim, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Stuttgart 1-1 Sparta Prague
Tuesday, October 1 at 5.45pm in Champions League
Last Game: Hoffenheim 2-0 Dynamo Kiev
Thursday, October 3 at 5.45pm in Europa League

We said: Stuttgart 3-1 Hoffenheim

While Stuttgart have been inconsistent this term, it is difficult to see them dropping points at home given their strong record at MHPArena. Additionally, Hoffenheim are in poor form, and it would be surprising if they managed to avoid defeat on Sunday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stuttgart win with a probability of 70.54%. A draw had a probability of 16% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 13.42%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stuttgart win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.15%) and 3-1 (8.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.76%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (3.75%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
70.54% (-0.822 -0.82) 16.04% (0.377 0.38) 13.42% (0.447 0.45)
Both teams to score 62.34% (-0.199 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
72.75% (-0.8 -0.8)27.24% (0.801 0.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
52.2% (-1.013 -1.01)47.79% (1.014 1.01)
Stuttgart Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
93.07% (-0.342 -0.34)6.92% (0.342 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
74.59% (-0.92100000000001 -0.92)25.41% (0.922 0.92)
Hoffenheim Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.97% (0.031999999999996 0.03)33.02% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.39% (0.038999999999998 0.04)69.61% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    Stuttgart 70.54%
    Hoffenheim 13.42%
    Draw 16.04%
StuttgartDrawHoffenheim
2-1 @ 9.03% (0.116 0.12)
2-0 @ 8.15% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
3-1 @ 8.04% (-0.047000000000001 -0.05)
3-0 @ 7.26% (-0.049 -0.05)
1-0 @ 6.11% (0.186 0.19)
4-1 @ 5.37% (-0.134 -0.13)
4-0 @ 4.84% (-0.125 -0.13)
3-2 @ 4.45% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
4-2 @ 2.97% (-0.071 -0.07)
5-1 @ 2.87% (-0.127 -0.13)
5-0 @ 2.59% (-0.117 -0.12)
5-2 @ 1.59% (-0.069 -0.07)
6-1 @ 1.28% (-0.082 -0.08)
6-0 @ 1.15% (-0.075 -0.08)
4-3 @ 1.1% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 3.76%
Total : 70.54%
1-1 @ 6.76% (0.211 0.21)
2-2 @ 5% (0.069 0.07)
0-0 @ 2.29% (0.111 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.65% (-0.006 -0.01)
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 16.04%
1-2 @ 3.75% (0.12 0.12)
0-1 @ 2.53% (0.125 0.13)
2-3 @ 1.85% (0.027 0.03)
0-2 @ 1.4% (0.07 0.07)
1-3 @ 1.38% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 13.42%

How you voted: Stuttgart vs Hoffenheim

Stuttgart
86.2%
Draw
5.7%
Hoffenheim
8.0%
87
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 5.30pm
Gameweek 26
Hoffenheim
0-3
Stuttgart

Kaderabek (45+3')
Millot (16'), Guirassy (45+1'), Leweling (68')
Oct 28, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Stuttgart
2-3
Hoffenheim
Fuhrich (61'), Undav (73')
Rouault (21'), Fuhrich (80')
Promel (4'), Weghorst (21' pen.), Skov (66')
Akpoguma (17')
May 27, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 34
Stuttgart
1-1
Hoffenheim
Tomas (80')
Bebou (75')
Jan 24, 2023 7.30pm
Gameweek 17
Hoffenheim
2-2
Stuttgart
Kramaric (11', 90+4')
Guirassy (45+5'), Endo (77')
Feb 25, 2022 7.30pm
Gameweek 24
Hoffenheim
2-1
Stuttgart
Baumgartner (85', 90')
Geiger (16'), Baumgartner (33'), Hubner (45+4')
Endo (58')
Anton (81'), Forster (90+5')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern15113147133436
2Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen1485132201229
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1483334201427
4RB Leipzig158342420427
5Freiburg147342019124
6Stuttgart146532924523
7Mainz 05Mainz146442519622
8Borussia DortmundDortmund146442521422
9Werder Bremen146442224-222
10Wolfsburg146353125621
11Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach146352319421
12Union BerlinUnion Berlin144551315-217
13Augsburg144461627-1116
14Hoffenheim143561926-714
15St Pauli143291119-811
16Heidenheim1431101831-1310
17Holstein Kiel1412111437-235
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum1403111135-243


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