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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hoffenheim win with a probability of 41.69%. A win for Holstein Kiel had a probability of 35.87% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hoffenheim win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.74%) and 2-0 (5.14%). The likeliest Holstein Kiel win was 1-2 (7.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 4.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Hoffenheim would win this match.
Result | ||
Hoffenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
41.69% (![]() | 22.44% (![]() | 35.87% (![]() |
Both teams to score 67.31% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
66.8% (![]() | 33.2% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
45.05% (![]() | 54.95% (![]() |
Hoffenheim Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.31% (![]() | 16.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.44% (![]() | 46.56% (![]() |
Holstein Kiel Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.79% (![]() | 19.21% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.1% (![]() | 50.9% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Hoffenheim | Draw | Holstein Kiel |
2-1 @ 8.48% (![]() 1-0 @ 5.74% ( ![]() 2-0 @ 5.14% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.06% 3-2 @ 4.18% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 3.07% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.27% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.87% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 1.37% ( ![]() 4-3 @ 1.03% ( ![]() Other @ 3.5% Total : 41.69% | 1-1 @ 9.47% (![]() 2-2 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 0-0 @ 3.2% ( ![]() 3-3 @ 2.3% ( ![]() Other @ 0.48% Total : 22.44% | 1-2 @ 7.81% (![]() 0-1 @ 5.29% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 4.36% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 4.3% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 3.85% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 2.4% ( ![]() 1-4 @ 1.77% ( ![]() 2-4 @ 1.59% ( ![]() 0-4 @ 0.99% ( ![]() 3-4 @ 0.95% ( ![]() Other @ 2.58% Total : 35.87% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Heidenheim | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 0 | 6 | 6 |
2 | Bayern MunichBayern | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 6 |
3 | RB Leipzig | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 6 |
4 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4 |
5 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 4 |
6 | Wolfsburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
7 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 3 |
8 | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 3 |
9 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
10 | Freiburg | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 3 |
11 | Hoffenheim | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 3 |
12 | Mainz 05Mainz | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 2 |
13 | Werder Bremen | 2 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 2 |
14 | Stuttgart | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | -2 | 1 |
15 | Augsburg | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 6 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Holstein Kiel | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 5 | -3 | 0 |
17 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
18 | St Pauli | 2 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 | -3 | 0 |
> Bundesliga Full Table |