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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Cardiff City win with a probability of 41.68%. A win for Swansea City has a probability of 32.12% and a draw has a probability of 26.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win is 1-0 with a probability of 10.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 2-1 (8.75%) and 2-0 (7.29%). The likeliest Swansea City win is 0-1 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (12.45%).
Result | ||
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
41.68% ( -1.32) | 26.2% ( -0.16) | 32.12% ( 1.48) |
Both teams to score 52.74% ( 1.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.29% ( 1.14) | 51.7% ( -1.14) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.52% ( 0.98) | 73.48% ( -0.98) |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.46% ( -0.16) | 24.53% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.99% ( -0.22) | 59.01% ( 0.22) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.89% ( 1.6) | 30.11% ( -1.6) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.75% ( 1.88) | 66.25% ( -1.88) |
Score Analysis |
Cardiff City | Draw | Swansea City |
1-0 @ 10.37% ( -0.53) 2-1 @ 8.75% ( -0.09) 2-0 @ 7.29% ( -0.41) 3-1 @ 4.1% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 3.42% ( -0.21) 3-2 @ 2.46% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.44% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.65% Total : 41.68% | 1-1 @ 12.45% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 7.39% ( -0.34) 2-2 @ 5.25% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 0.99% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.19% | 0-1 @ 8.87% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 7.48% ( 0.28) 0-2 @ 5.32% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 2.13% ( 0.18) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.23% Total : 32.12% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 26 | 15 | 8 | 3 | 48 | 19 | 29 | 53 |
2 | Burnley | 26 | 14 | 10 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 52 |
3 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 26 | 16 | 6 | 4 | 36 | 17 | 19 | 52 |
4 | Sunderland | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 39 | 22 | 17 | 50 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 26 | 12 | 6 | 8 | 31 | 23 | 8 | 42 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 26 | 11 | 8 | 7 | 43 | 32 | 11 | 41 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 26 | 9 | 13 | 4 | 32 | 21 | 11 | 40 |
8 | Watford | 26 | 11 | 5 | 10 | 36 | 37 | -1 | 38 |
9 | Bristol City | 26 | 9 | 10 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 3 | 37 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 37 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 26 | 9 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 37 | 6 | 36 |
12 | Swansea CitySwansea | 26 | 9 | 7 | 10 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 34 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 26 | 7 | 11 | 8 | 29 | 34 | -5 | 32 |
14 | Millwall | 25 | 7 | 9 | 9 | 24 | 23 | 1 | 30 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 26 | 6 | 12 | 8 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 30 |
16 | Coventry CityCoventry | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 34 | 37 | -3 | 29 |
17 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 26 | 7 | 8 | 11 | 29 | 41 | -12 | 29 |
18 | Derby CountyDerby | 26 | 7 | 6 | 13 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 27 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 26 | 6 | 9 | 11 | 24 | 32 | -8 | 27 |
20 | Luton TownLuton | 26 | 7 | 4 | 15 | 27 | 44 | -17 | 25 |
21 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 26 | 41 | -15 | 24 |
22 | Hull City | 26 | 5 | 8 | 13 | 25 | 36 | -11 | 23 |
23 | Portsmouth | 25 | 5 | 8 | 12 | 30 | 44 | -14 | 23 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 26 | 4 | 9 | 13 | 25 | 54 | -29 | 21 |
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