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Championship | Gameweek 3
Aug 25, 2024 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Swansea
1 - 1
Cardiff

Cullen (10')
Allen (90+6'), Ng (90+10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Robinson (79')
Darling (90+10'), Colwill (90+11')
Bulut (91')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 3-0 Preston
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 5-0 Cardiff
Saturday, August 17 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 2-1 Cardiff City

Although form often becomes irrelevant during the heat of a local derby, Swansea will take confidence from their start to the season and should back themselves against Cardiff this weekend. The Bluebirds are yet to find their feet in the Championship this campaign, and we cannot envisage Bulut's side winning on enemy territory this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.88%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.

Result
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
56.51% (1.804 1.8) 23.6% (0.193 0.19) 19.88% (-2.001 -2)
Both teams to score 49.69% (-3.511 -3.51)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.66% (-3.208 -3.21)50.34% (3.204 3.2)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.72% (-2.915 -2.92)72.28% (2.911 2.91)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.38% (-0.517 -0.52)17.62% (0.513 0.51)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.78% (-0.901 -0.9)48.21% (0.898 0.9)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.32% (-3.861 -3.86)39.68% (3.857 3.86)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.64% (-3.76 -3.76)76.35% (3.756 3.76)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 56.5%
    Cardiff City 19.88%
    Draw 23.6%
Swansea CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 12.13% (1.31 1.31)
2-0 @ 10.53% (0.978 0.98)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.068 -0.07)
3-0 @ 6.1% (0.475 0.48)
3-1 @ 5.64% (-0.135 -0.14)
4-0 @ 2.65% (0.165 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.358 -0.36)
4-1 @ 2.45% (-0.101 -0.1)
4-2 @ 1.13% (-0.177 -0.18)
5-0 @ 0.92% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 2.62%
Total : 56.5%
1-1 @ 11.22% (0.12 0.12)
0-0 @ 6.99% (0.863 0.86)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.532 -0.53)
Other @ 0.89%
Total : 23.6%
0-1 @ 6.46% (0.171 0.17)
1-2 @ 5.19% (-0.516 -0.52)
0-2 @ 2.99% (-0.243 -0.24)
1-3 @ 1.6% (-0.353 -0.35)
2-3 @ 1.39% (-0.336 -0.34)
0-3 @ 0.92% (-0.184 -0.18)
Other @ 1.34%
Total : 19.88%

How you voted: Swansea vs Cardiff

Swansea City
74.5%
Draw
15.7%
Cardiff City
9.8%
51
Head to Head
Mar 16, 2024 12.30pm
Gameweek 38
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cullen (34'), Lowe (90+6')
Darling (17'), Allen (21')

Meite (17')
Sep 16, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 6
Cardiff
2-0
Swansea
Tanner (71'), Ramsey (86' pen.)
Tanner (81')

Fulton (57')
Apr 1, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 39
Cardiff
2-3
Swansea
Philogene-Bidace (35'), Kaba (83')
Piroe (3'), Cullen (33'), Cabango (90+9')
Oct 23, 2022 12pm
Gameweek 17
Swansea
2-0
Cardiff
Cooper (38'), Obafemi (67')
Apr 2, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 40
Cardiff
0-4
Swansea

Doyle (39'), Ralls (80')
Obafemi (6', 82'), Cabango (57'), Wolf (78')
Wolf (29'), Fisher (59'), Downes (69'), Piroe (80')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland4400101912
2West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom431062410
3Watford43018449
4Leeds UnitedLeeds42207348
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn42209638
6Burnley421110377
7Middlesbrough42115327
8Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd42206336
9Oxford UnitedOxford Utd42028626
10Derby CountyDerby42027616
11Stoke CityStoke420235-26
12Queens Park RangersQPR412167-15
13Norwich CityNorwich412145-15
14Bristol City412168-25
15Millwall41128714
16Swansea CitySwansea41124314
17Coventry CityCoventry411245-14
18Portsmouth403168-23
19Hull City403124-23
20Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds410349-53
21Preston North EndPreston410328-63
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth402227-52
23Luton TownLuton401327-51
24Cardiff CityCardiff4013110-91


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