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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 56.51%. A draw had a probability of 23.6% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.53%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.22%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
56.51% (![]() | 23.6% (![]() | 19.88% (![]() |
Both teams to score 49.69% (![]() |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.66% (![]() | 50.34% (![]() |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.72% (![]() | 72.28% (![]() |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.38% (![]() | 17.62% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.78% (![]() | 48.21% (![]() |
Cardiff City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.32% (![]() | 39.68% (![]() |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.64% (![]() | 76.35% (![]() |
Score Analysis |
Swansea City | Draw | Cardiff City |
1-0 @ 12.13% (![]() 2-0 @ 10.53% ( ![]() 2-1 @ 9.74% ( ![]() 3-0 @ 6.1% ( ![]() 3-1 @ 5.64% ( ![]() 4-0 @ 2.65% ( ![]() 3-2 @ 2.61% ( ![]() 4-1 @ 2.45% ( ![]() 4-2 @ 1.13% ( ![]() 5-0 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 2.62% Total : 56.5% | 1-1 @ 11.22% (![]() 0-0 @ 6.99% ( ![]() 2-2 @ 4.5% ( ![]() Other @ 0.89% Total : 23.6% | 0-1 @ 6.46% (![]() 1-2 @ 5.19% ( ![]() 0-2 @ 2.99% ( ![]() 1-3 @ 1.6% ( ![]() 2-3 @ 1.39% ( ![]() 0-3 @ 0.92% ( ![]() Other @ 1.34% Total : 19.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sunderland | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 10 | 1 | 9 | 12 |
2 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 10 |
3 | Watford | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 8 | 4 | 4 | 9 |
4 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 8 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 9 | 6 | 3 | 8 |
6 | Burnley | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 7 |
7 | Middlesbrough | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
8 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 6 |
9 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 6 |
10 | Derby CountyDerby | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 6 | 1 | 6 |
11 | Stoke CityStoke | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 6 |
12 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 7 | -1 | 5 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 5 |
14 | Bristol City | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 5 |
15 | Millwall | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 7 | 1 | 4 |
16 | Swansea CitySwansea | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 4 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 5 | -1 | 4 |
18 | Portsmouth | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 6 | 8 | -2 | 3 |
19 | Hull City | 4 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 4 | -2 | 3 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 4 | 9 | -5 | 3 |
21 | Preston North EndPreston | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 8 | -6 | 3 |
22 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 4 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 2 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 | -5 | 1 |
24 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 10 | -9 | 1 |
> Championship Full Table |