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Portsmouth
Championship | Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 at 3pm UK
Fratton Park
Swansea logo

Portsmouth
4 - 0
Swansea

Murphy (22'), Lane (29'), Towler (61'), Bishop (78')
Pack (44')
FT(HT: 2-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Portsmouth and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 3-0 Portsmouth
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-1 Luton
Sunday, December 29 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Portsmouth 1-1 Swansea City

Pompey may have lost their final two matches of 2024, but they will now return to Fratton Park where they are unbeaten in four games, and we think that they will do enough to extend that undefeated streak by holding Swansea to a draw in the New Year's Day fixture. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 41.98%. A win for Portsmouth had a probability of 32.82% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (6.88%). The likeliest Portsmouth win was 1-0 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.9%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
32.82% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01) 25.2% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 41.98% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 56.26% (0.0040000000000049 0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.73% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)47.26% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.5% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)69.49% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)
Portsmouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.53% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)27.46% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.04% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)62.95% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.55% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)22.44% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.02% (0.014000000000003 0.01)55.98% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Portsmouth 32.82%
    Swansea City 41.98%
    Draw 25.2%
PortsmouthDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 7.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-1 @ 7.69% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-0 @ 5.15% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-2 @ 2.48%
3-0 @ 2.22% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.07% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.94%
Total : 32.82%
1-1 @ 11.9%
0-0 @ 6.16% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-2 @ 5.75% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.23%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.2%
0-1 @ 9.21%
1-2 @ 8.89% (0.00099999999999945 0)
0-2 @ 6.88% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 4.43% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 3.43% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 2.86% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.65% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-4 @ 1.28% (0.0010000000000001 0)
2-4 @ 1.07% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.27%
Total : 41.98%

How you voted: Portsmouth vs Swansea

Portsmouth
28.9%
Draw
35.5%
Swansea City
35.5%
76
Head to Head
Nov 30, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 18
Swansea
2-2
Portsmouth
Ogilvie (45+2' og.), Cullen (54')
Cabango (9')
Ritchie (25'), Murphy (45')
Pack (1'), Mousinho (2'), Ritchie (35'), Cullen (36'), Blair (83'), Dozzell (83')
Apr 23, 2011 3pm
Portsmouth
0-0
Swansea
Kitson (23'), Nugent (29'), Hogg (86')
Borini (66'), Monk (83'), Britton (90')
Nov 26, 2010 3pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds28178353193459
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd29186540211958
3Burnley28151123692756
4Sunderland291510442241855
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom291014538251344
6Middlesbrough29128947361144
7Blackburn RoversBlackburn29126113228442
8Bristol City29101183734341
9Watford29125124041-141
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds29118104245-341
11Norwich CityNorwich29109104842639
12Coventry CityCoventry29108113938138
13Queens Park RangersQPR2991193237-538
14Preston North EndPreston2981383236-437
15Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2999113343-1036
16Millwall28810102726134
17Swansea CitySwansea2997133240-834
18Cardiff CityCardiff29710123344-1131
19Hull City2978143038-829
20Stoke CityStoke29611122636-1029
21Portsmouth2878133651-1529
22Derby CountyDerby2976163240-827
23Luton TownLuton2975172948-1926
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth29410152762-3522


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