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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 19
Dec 7, 2024 at 3.15pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Swansea logo

Luton
1 - 1
Swansea

Adebayo (17')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Grimes (64')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 4-2 Luton
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Swansea 2-2 Portsmouth
Saturday, November 30 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Swansea City

This match is difficult to call as one of the worst defences square off against one of the poorest attacks. With that in mind, we are playing it safe and predicting a competitive draw, a result that suits neither of these teams. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 31.26% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.79%) and 2-0 (7.54%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (8.93%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.53%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
42.39% (0.021000000000001 0.02) 26.35% (0.021999999999998 0.02) 31.26% (-0.044 -0.04)
Both teams to score 51.94% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.41% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)52.59% (0.098000000000006 0.1)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.75% (-0.084999999999997 -0.08)74.24% (0.084000000000003 0.08)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.42% (-0.031999999999996 -0.03)24.57% (0.032 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.93% (-0.047000000000004 -0.05)59.06% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.86% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)31.14% (0.079000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.53% (-0.094000000000001 -0.09)67.47% (0.094000000000008 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.38%
    Swansea City 31.27%
    Draw 26.35%
Luton TownDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 10.73% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
2-1 @ 8.79% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
2-0 @ 7.54% (0.015 0.01)
3-1 @ 4.11% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
3-0 @ 3.53% (0.004 0)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.44% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
4-0 @ 1.24%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 42.38%
1-1 @ 12.53% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.65% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
2-2 @ 5.13% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.93% (-0.0059999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.35%
0-1 @ 8.93% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.31% (-0.010000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 5.21% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-3 @ 2.84% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.03% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 31.27%

How you voted: Luton vs Swansea

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
34.6%
Swansea City
17.3%
52
Head to Head
Mar 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 35
Luton
1-0
Swansea
Morris (39')
Aug 20, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 5
Swansea
0-2
Luton

Obafemi (82')
Campbell (14'), Morris (72')
Feb 1, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 25
Swansea
0-1
Luton

Downes (10'), Piroe (90+3')
Cornick (72')
Hylton (34'), Lansbury (75'), Burke (88'), Berry (89')
Sep 18, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 8
Luton
3-3
Swansea
Berry (7'), Adebayo (15' pen., 23')
Lansbury (28'), Naismith (47')
Paterson (63'), Ntcham (86'), Piroe (90+1')
Manning (28')
Mar 13, 2021 12.15pm
Gameweek 36
Luton
0-1
Swansea
Hourihane (3')
Naughton (28'), Bennett (45+9'), Woodman (56'), Roberts (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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