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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 14
Nov 6, 2024 at 8pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Luton
1 - 0
Cardiff

Brown (57')
Morris (43'), Mengi (84')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Goutas (86')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-1 West Brom
Friday, November 1 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 2-1 Norwich
Saturday, November 2 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-1 Cardiff City

Cardiff are the clear favourites for this contest and it will come as a surprise if they do not battle their way to a hard-earned victory. For us, though, Luton must surely click into gear at some stage and we are backing them to secure a share of the spoils here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 43.07%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 31.85% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.01%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.84%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Luton Town in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
43.07% (3.131 3.13) 25.09% (-0.041 -0.04) 31.85% (-3.084 -3.08)
Both teams to score 56.3% (-0.777 -0.78)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.95% (-0.608 -0.61)47.05% (0.614 0.61)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.71% (-0.57 -0.57)69.29% (0.575 0.58)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.17% (1.253 1.25)21.83% (-1.247 -1.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.94% (1.869 1.87)55.06% (-1.862 -1.86)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.03% (-2.179 -2.18)27.97% (2.185 2.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.39% (-2.868 -2.87)63.61% (2.874 2.87)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 43.07%
    Cardiff City 31.85%
    Draw 25.09%
Luton TownDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.29% (0.567 0.57)
2-1 @ 9.01% (0.339 0.34)
2-0 @ 7.07% (0.674 0.67)
3-1 @ 4.57% (0.333 0.33)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.46 0.46)
3-2 @ 2.91% (0.04 0.04)
4-1 @ 1.74% (0.185 0.19)
4-0 @ 1.37% (0.219 0.22)
4-2 @ 1.11% (0.054 0.05)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 43.07%
1-1 @ 11.84% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 6.11% (0.156 0.16)
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.137 -0.14)
3-3 @ 1.24% (-0.061 -0.06)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.09%
0-1 @ 7.78% (-0.286 -0.29)
1-2 @ 7.54% (-0.473 -0.47)
0-2 @ 4.96% (-0.51 -0.51)
1-3 @ 3.2% (-0.418 -0.42)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.218 -0.22)
0-3 @ 2.1% (-0.365 -0.37)
1-4 @ 1.02% (-0.207 -0.21)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 31.85%

How you voted: Luton vs Cardiff

Luton Town
48.1%
Draw
16.9%
Cardiff City
35.1%
77
Head to Head
Jan 31, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 29
Luton
1-0
Cardiff
Adebayo (88')
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 7
Cardiff
1-2
Luton
Sawyers (85')
Freeman (47'), Osho (62')
Apr 18, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 43
Cardiff
0-1
Luton

Bagan (55')
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 20
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Gameweek 30
Luton
0-2
Cardiff
Wilson (53'), Vaulks (57')
Vaulks (65')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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