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Championship | Gameweek 43
Apr 18, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Luton Town

Cardiff
0 - 1
Luton


Bagan (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Cornick (71')
Naismith (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 1-2 Luton Town

Cardiff do not have too much to play for between now and the end of the season, but the same cannot be said for Luton, who have the fifth-best away record in the Championship this season. We are expecting a tight match on Monday afternoon but believe that the visitors will have enough to secure a huge three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 40.48%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 32.14% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.4%) and 0-2 (7.47%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (9.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.94%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Luton Town in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Luton Town.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
32.14%27.38%40.48%
Both teams to score 49.09%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.63%56.37%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.61%77.39%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.54%32.46%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.01%68.98%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.69%27.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.24%62.75%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 32.14%
    Luton Town 40.47%
    Draw 27.37%
Cardiff CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 9.97%
2-1 @ 7.28%
2-0 @ 5.61%
3-1 @ 2.73%
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.77%
Other @ 2.66%
Total : 32.14%
1-1 @ 12.94%
0-0 @ 8.87%
2-2 @ 4.73%
Other @ 0.84%
Total : 27.37%
0-1 @ 11.5%
1-2 @ 8.4%
0-2 @ 7.47%
1-3 @ 3.64%
0-3 @ 3.23%
2-3 @ 2.05%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 1.97%
Total : 40.47%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Luton

Cardiff City
22.1%
Draw
20.6%
Luton Town
57.4%
68
Head to Head
Nov 27, 2021 3pm
Luton
1-2
Cardiff
Clark (64')
Rea (42')
Colwill (10'), Morrison (77')
Morrison (38'), Smithies (85')
Feb 16, 2021 8.15pm
Nov 28, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
4-0
Luton
Morrison (5'), Harris (9'), Moore (59'), Ojo (83')
Nelson (4')
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
Cardiff
0-3
Luton

Vaulks (85')
Hoilett (43' og.), Sheehan (63'), Jervis (70')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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