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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
Preston North End logo

Luton
4 - 0
Preston

Berry (9', 42'), Onyedinma (28'), Diaby (59' og.)
Campbell (87')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Hughes (27'), Whiteman (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Preston North End, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Luton Town 2-1 Preston North End

Given the amount of draws which have been recorded since Lowe's arrival at Preston, a low-scoring stalemate cannot be ruled out. Nevertheless, Luton need to capitalise on their home fixtures, leading us to predict a more ruthless performance as they bid to stay in close proximity to the top six. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 38.96%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.07% and a draw had a probability of 29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 0-1 (11.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.34%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawPreston North End
38.96%28.97%32.07%
Both teams to score 44.56%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
37.98%62.02%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.25%81.75%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.07%30.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.77%67.22%
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.51%35.49%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.75%72.25%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 38.96%
    Preston North End 32.06%
    Draw 28.96%
Luton TownDrawPreston North End
1-0 @ 12.87%
2-1 @ 7.83%
2-0 @ 7.56%
3-1 @ 3.06%
3-0 @ 2.96%
3-2 @ 1.59%
Other @ 3.1%
Total : 38.96%
1-1 @ 13.34%
0-0 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 4.06%
Other @ 0.59%
Total : 28.96%
0-1 @ 11.37%
1-2 @ 6.91%
0-2 @ 5.89%
1-3 @ 2.39%
0-3 @ 2.03%
2-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.07%
Total : 32.06%

How you voted: Luton vs Preston

Luton Town
62.9%
Draw
27.4%
Preston North End
9.7%
62
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Preston
2-0
Luton
Riis Jakobsen (27', 45+2' pen.)
Browne (38')

Bell (24'), Lockyer (38')
Mar 20, 2021 3pm
Dec 12, 2020 3pm
Jun 20, 2020 3pm
Dec 14, 2019 3pm
Preston
2-1
Luton
Gallagher (5'), Stockley (84')
Fisher (67')
Collins (43' pen.)
LuaLua (66'), Berry (81'), Bradley (96')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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