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Championship | Gameweek 36
Mar 5, 2022 at 3pm UK
Riverside Stadium
Luton Town

Middlesbrough
2 - 1
Luton

McNair (17' pen.), Watmore (87')
Lumley (90+1'), Coburn (90+3')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cornick (90+6')
Jerome (20'), Hylton (50'), Lansbury (61')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Middlesbrough and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton Town

With both teams producing fine efforts in the FA Cup, they may struggle to replicate those performances during this contest. There is an argument that this is a true 50-50 contest, but the extra rest and home advantage could prove pivotal for Boro, and we are backing a narrow victory for the North-East outfit. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 46.61%. A draw had a probability of 27.2% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 26.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.12%) and 2-1 (8.85%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.72%), while for a Luton Town win it was 0-1 (9.15%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Middlesbrough in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Middlesbrough.

Result
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
46.61%27.16%26.23%
Both teams to score 46.64%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42%58%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.31%78.69%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.11%24.89%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.49%59.5%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.1%37.9%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.33%74.67%
Score Analysis
    Middlesbrough 46.6%
    Luton Town 26.23%
    Draw 27.15%
MiddlesbroughDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 13.11%
2-0 @ 9.12%
2-1 @ 8.85%
3-0 @ 4.23%
3-1 @ 4.1%
3-2 @ 1.99%
4-0 @ 1.47%
4-1 @ 1.43%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 46.6%
1-1 @ 12.72%
0-0 @ 9.43%
2-2 @ 4.29%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.15%
0-1 @ 9.15%
1-2 @ 6.17%
0-2 @ 4.44%
1-3 @ 2%
0-3 @ 1.44%
2-3 @ 1.39%
Other @ 1.64%
Total : 26.23%

How you voted: Middlesbrough vs Luton

Middlesbrough
63.6%
Draw
18.2%
Luton Town
18.2%
22
Head to Head
Nov 2, 2021 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Middlesbrough
Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Aug 2, 2019 7.45pm
Luton
3-3
Middlesbrough
Bradley (17'), Cranie (24'), Collins (85')
Ruddock (45'), Collins (49')
Fletcher (7'), Assombalonga (37'), Wing (68')
Fletcher (39'), Wing (61')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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