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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 16, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
2 - 1
Stoke

Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Baker (23')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 1-1 Coventry
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

The two sides meet with contrasting levels of confidence, and we back the Bluebirds to continue their improvement. O'Neill will feel that his side need a victory to salvage their season and for him to gain some favour back in Staffordshire, but we expect them to fall just short given their lack of momentum. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 36.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 34.92% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.71%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 1-0 (11.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.27%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Cardiff City in this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
34.92%28.44%36.64%
Both teams to score 46.47%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.13%59.87%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.86%80.14%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.62%32.38%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.11%68.89%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.73%31.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.37%67.63%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 34.91%
    Stoke City 36.64%
    Draw 28.43%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.41%
2-1 @ 7.48%
2-0 @ 6.44%
3-1 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 2.42%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 34.91%
1-1 @ 13.27%
0-0 @ 10.12%
2-2 @ 4.35%
Other @ 0.69%
Total : 28.43%
0-1 @ 11.77%
1-2 @ 7.71%
0-2 @ 6.84%
1-3 @ 2.99%
0-3 @ 2.65%
2-3 @ 1.69%
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 36.64%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
64.9%
Draw
24.7%
Stoke City
10.4%
77
Head to Head
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
Nov 26, 2019 7.45pm
rhs 2.0
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FT
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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