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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Birmingham

Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Neither side come into this game on good form but Birmingham appear much more in freefall than Cardiff, who are already beginning to plan for next season. The Blues' woeful away record also suggests that they will not get anything from their trip to Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
44.39%26.22%29.38%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15%52.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.46%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.81%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.38%
    Draw 26.22%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
42.9%
Draw
47.6%
Birmingham City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cardiff
4-2
Birmingham
Ralls (30' pen., 69', 94' pen.), Nelson (38')
Peltier (92')
Ward (52')
Pedersen (3'), Sunjic (89')
Sunjic (32'), Jutkiewicz (85'), Roberts (94')
Dean (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
1.15am
Buccaneers
@
Chiefs
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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