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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Birmingham logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Birmingham

Vaulks (82' pen.)
McGuinness (48'), Drameh (57'), Nelson (67'), Vaulks (76')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Bela (22')
Gordon (58'), Etheridge (82')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Birmingham City

Neither side come into this game on good form but Birmingham appear much more in freefall than Cardiff, who are already beginning to plan for next season. The Blues' woeful away record also suggests that they will not get anything from their trip to Wales. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 44.39%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 29.38% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.12%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.01%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (8.66%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
44.39%26.22%29.38%
Both teams to score 51.41%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.15%52.85%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.53%74.46%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.3%23.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.19%57.81%
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.38%32.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.83%69.16%
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 44.38%
    Birmingham City 29.38%
    Draw 26.22%
Cardiff CityDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.12%
2-1 @ 8.98%
2-0 @ 8.01%
3-1 @ 4.31%
3-0 @ 3.85%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.55%
4-0 @ 1.38%
Other @ 2.77%
Total : 44.38%
1-1 @ 12.46%
0-0 @ 7.73%
2-2 @ 5.03%
3-3 @ 0.9%
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.22%
0-1 @ 8.66%
1-2 @ 6.98%
0-2 @ 4.85%
1-3 @ 2.61%
2-3 @ 1.88%
0-3 @ 1.81%
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 29.38%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Birmingham

Cardiff City
42.9%
Draw
47.6%
Birmingham City
9.5%
21
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
2-2
Cardiff
Deeney (29'), Sunjic (45+1')
Sunjic (63'), Friend (85')
Moore (66'), McGuinness (90+1')
Nelson (16'), Ralls (72')
May 1, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-4
Cardiff

Dean (84')
Wilson (9', 40', 86'), Harris (68')
Pack (61')
Dec 16, 2020 7pm
Cardiff
3-2
Birmingham
Glatzel (10'), Wilson (78'), Morrison (89')
Bacuna (28'), Ojo (43')
Roberts (31'), Sanchez (57')
Toral (21'), Colin (53')
Nov 2, 2019 3pm
Cardiff
4-2
Birmingham
Ralls (30' pen., 69', 94' pen.), Nelson (38')
Peltier (92')
Ward (52')
Pedersen (3'), Sunjic (89')
Sunjic (32'), Jutkiewicz (85'), Roberts (94')
Dean (92')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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