We said: Nottingham Forest 2-0 Birmingham City
While Blues will be high in confidence after their recent form, a trip to the City Ground is currently the toughest test at this level. With that in mind, we expect another professional showing from Forest, who may score a goal in either half to make relatively light work of their opponents.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 56.66%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 18.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.32%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.48%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (6.96%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Nottingham Forest in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Nottingham Forest.