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Championship | Gameweek 45
Apr 30, 2022 at 3pm UK
City Ground
Swansea logo

Nott'm Forest
5 - 1
Swansea

Christie (22' og.), Surridge (48', 52', 69'), Mighten (84')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Obafemi (28')
Christie (24'), Latibeaudiere (38')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Nottingham Forest and Swansea City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Swansea 0-1 QPR
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Nottingham Forest 3-1 Swansea City

While Swansea are playing well enough to push Forest all the way on Saturday, we cannot ignore the manner of some of their recent draws. With that in mind, Forest could take advantage, starting well and doing more than enough during the 90 minutes to claim another three vital points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nottingham Forest win with a probability of 58.74%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Swansea City had a probability of 18.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nottingham Forest win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.01%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.91%), while for a Swansea City win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Nottingham Forest would win this match.

Result
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
58.74%22.96%18.3%
Both teams to score 49.01%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.11%49.88%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.12%71.88%
Nottingham Forest Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.33%16.67%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.47%46.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.81%41.18%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.28%77.72%
Score Analysis
    Nottingham Forest 58.72%
    Swansea City 18.3%
    Draw 22.96%
Nottingham ForestDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 12.29%
2-0 @ 11.01%
2-1 @ 9.78%
3-0 @ 6.58%
3-1 @ 5.84%
4-0 @ 2.95%
4-1 @ 2.62%
3-2 @ 2.59%
4-2 @ 1.16%
5-0 @ 1.06%
5-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 58.72%
1-1 @ 10.91%
0-0 @ 6.86%
2-2 @ 4.34%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 22.96%
0-1 @ 6.09%
1-2 @ 4.84%
0-2 @ 2.7%
1-3 @ 1.43%
2-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.96%
Total : 18.3%

How you voted: Nott'm Forest vs Swansea

Nottingham Forest
81.1%
Draw
13.5%
Swansea City
5.4%
37
Head to Head
Dec 11, 2021 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Nott'm Forest
Piroe (62')
Downes (11'), Smith (31'), Cabango (55')
Zinckernagel (48'), Grabban (50'), Johnson (68'), Cafu (90+3')
Osei-Tutu (20'), Spence (55'), McKenna (66'), Cafu (90+4')
Feb 17, 2021 7pm
Jan 23, 2021 3pm
Swansea
5-1
Nott'm Forest
Cullen (7', 67'), Grimes (29', 60' pen.), Cooper (85')
Dhanda (90+1')
Knockaert (56')
Jenkinson (10'), Worrall (69')
Nov 29, 2020 12pm
Nott'm Forest
0-1
Swansea

Arter (51'), Figueiredo (74'), McKenna (78'), Taylor (90+2')
Roberts (43')
Woodman (87'), Fulton (89')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7Watford2110473028234
8West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2171132416832
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Bristol City216962626027
12Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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