Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 36.41%. A win for Nottingham Forest had a probability of 34.13% and a draw had a probability of 29.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.41%) and 2-0 (7.01%). The likeliest Nottingham Forest win was 0-1 (12.2%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.44%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Swansea City in this match.