We said: Birmingham City 0-1 Middlesbrough
Bowyer will not want to see any complacency creep in as Birmingham seek to consolidate their second-tier status, and Middlesbrough's away form is nothing to write home about.
The visitors are still in a strong position when it comes to the playoff race and have the youthful talent up top primed to make a difference, so we are backing Boro to return to winning ways by the narrowest of margins.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 47.82%. A draw had a probability of 26.1% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 26.06%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.13%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.18%) and 0-2 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 1-0 (8.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.