Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 51.24%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 20.78%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.15%) and 2-1 (8.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.38%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (9.09%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
51.24% | 27.98% | 20.78% |
Both teams to score 39.5% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
35.56% | 64.44% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
16.51% | 83.49% |
Middlesbrough Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.41% | 25.59% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.53% | 60.47% |
Birmingham City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.08% | 46.92% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
17.57% | 82.43% |
Score Analysis |
Middlesbrough | Draw | Birmingham City |
1-0 @ 16.36% 2-0 @ 11.15% 2-1 @ 8.44% 3-0 @ 5.07% 3-1 @ 3.83% 4-0 @ 1.73% 3-2 @ 1.45% 4-1 @ 1.31% Other @ 1.9% Total : 51.23% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 12% 2-2 @ 3.19% Other @ 0.39% Total : 27.96% | 0-1 @ 9.09% 1-2 @ 4.69% 0-2 @ 3.44% 1-3 @ 1.18% Other @ 2.39% Total : 20.78% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 32 | 11 | 21 | 48 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 22 | 13 | 6 | 3 | 41 | 15 | 26 | 45 |
3 | Burnley | 22 | 12 | 8 | 2 | 28 | 9 | 19 | 44 |
4 | Sunderland | 22 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 34 | 18 | 16 | 43 |
5 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 21 | 11 | 4 | 6 | 25 | 18 | 7 | 37 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 22 | 10 | 5 | 7 | 38 | 28 | 10 | 35 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 22 | 8 | 11 | 3 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 35 |
8 | Watford | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 28 | 2 | 34 |
9 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 22 | 9 | 5 | 8 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 32 |
10 | Millwall | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 21 | 18 | 3 | 28 |
11 | Swansea CitySwansea | 22 | 7 | 6 | 9 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 27 |
12 | Bristol City | 22 | 6 | 9 | 7 | 26 | 28 | -2 | 27 |
13 | Norwich CityNorwich | 22 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 26 |
14 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 22 | 5 | 10 | 7 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 25 |
15 | Luton TownLuton | 22 | 7 | 4 | 11 | 25 | 38 | -13 | 25 |
16 | Derby CountyDerby | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 27 | 28 | -1 | 24 |
17 | Coventry CityCoventry | 22 | 6 | 6 | 10 | 28 | 34 | -6 | 24 |
18 | Preston North EndPreston | 22 | 4 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 29 | -7 | 23 |
19 | Stoke CityStoke | 22 | 5 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 30 | -7 | 22 |
20 | Portsmouth | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 25 | 35 | -10 | 20 |
21 | Hull City | 22 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 31 | -10 | 19 |
22 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 19 | 34 | -15 | 18 |
23 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 21 | 37 | -16 | 18 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 21 | 4 | 6 | 11 | 22 | 45 | -23 | 18 |
> Championship Full Table |