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Championship | Gameweek 41
Apr 9, 2022 at 3pm UK
Madejski Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Reading
1 - 2
Cardiff

Joao (7')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Doughty (59'), Vaulks (85')
Ng (70')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Reading and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 1-0 Reading
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Derby 0-1 Cardiff
Saturday, May 7 at 12.30pm in Championship

We said: Reading 2-0 Cardiff City

Reading are gradually building momentum and edging ever closer to safety, so we think that they will get another important three points on the board at home. Cardiff have very little to play for and will be shaken by their derby defeat. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 38.84%. A win for Reading had a probability of 34.25% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.33%) and 0-2 (6.9%). The likeliest Reading win was 1-0 (9.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
ReadingDrawCardiff City
34.25%26.91%38.84%
Both teams to score 51.03%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.85%54.14%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.44%75.56%
Reading Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.07%29.93%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.96%66.04%
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82%27.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.42%62.58%
Score Analysis
    Reading 34.25%
    Cardiff City 38.84%
    Draw 26.9%
ReadingDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 9.81%
2-1 @ 7.71%
2-0 @ 5.92%
3-1 @ 3.1%
3-0 @ 2.38%
3-2 @ 2.02%
4-1 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.38%
Total : 34.25%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 8.13%
2-2 @ 5.02%
Other @ 0.97%
Total : 26.9%
0-1 @ 10.59%
1-2 @ 8.33%
0-2 @ 6.9%
1-3 @ 3.62%
0-3 @ 3%
2-3 @ 2.18%
1-4 @ 1.18%
0-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.06%
Total : 38.84%

How you voted: Reading vs Cardiff

Reading
90.0%
Draw
6.7%
Cardiff City
3.3%
30
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2021 3pm
Cardiff
0-1
Reading

Pack (32'), Ralls (37'), Collins (84'), McGuinness (90+3')
Hoilett (38')
Apr 16, 2021 6pm
Reading
1-1
Cardiff
Meite (90+3')
Moore (87' pen.)
Nelson (46'), Pack (50'), Brown (78')
Sep 26, 2020 3pm
Cardiff
1-2
Reading
Tomlin (81')
Hoilett (18'), Moore (53')
Morrison (47'), Joao (66')
Olise (90+5')
Feb 4, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
3-3
Reading
Reading win 4-1 on penalties
Murphy (19', 93'), Glatzel (54')
Vaulks (39'), Richards (66'), Whyte (75'), Murphy (87')
Richards (69'), Rinomhota (79'), Meite (116')
Osho (81'), Richards (87'), Rinomhota (99')
Jan 31, 2020 7.45pm
Cardiff
1-1
Reading
Paterson (70')
Richards (56'), Nelson (88'), Morrison (90')
Meite (8')
Baldock (45'), Obita (56')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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