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Championship | Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 at 3pm UK
Carrow Road
Luton Town

Norwich
4 - 2
Luton

Crnac (25', 33'), Marcondes (81'), Sainz (86')
Hernandez (63')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Adebayo (20'), Brown (49')
McGuinness (71'), Woodrow (74')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Norwich City and Luton Town, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 6-1 Plymouth
Tuesday, November 26 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 3-0 Luton
Wednesday, November 27 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Norwich City 3-1 Luton Town

Having conceded eight goals in their last two away games, we do not envisage this fixture going Luton's way. Although Norwich have lost ground on the playoff spots, their performance versus Plymouth should stand them in good stead ahead of this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 61.13%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Luton Town had a probability of 18.49%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.2%) and 1-0 (8.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.37%), while for a Luton Town win it was 1-2 (5.04%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Norwich City would win this match.

Result
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
61.13% (-0.012 -0.01) 20.38% (-0.014999999999997 -0.01) 18.49% (0.029 0.03)
Both teams to score 57.92% (0.109 0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.76% (0.121 0.12)38.24% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.48% (0.127 0.13)60.52% (-0.123 -0.12)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.9% (0.035000000000011 0.04)12.09% (-0.031000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.36% (0.07 0.07)37.64% (-0.067 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.89% (0.102 0.1)34.11% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.2% (0.107 0.11)70.8% (-0.104 -0.1)
Score Analysis
    Norwich City 61.13%
    Luton Town 18.49%
    Draw 20.38%
Norwich CityDrawLuton Town
2-1 @ 9.9% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
2-0 @ 9.2% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-0 @ 8.71% (-0.038 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.97% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-0 @ 6.48% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-2 @ 3.75% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.68% (0.008 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.42% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-2 @ 1.98% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.56% (0.006 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.45% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 4.02%
Total : 61.13%
1-1 @ 9.37% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.33% (0.013 0.01)
0-0 @ 4.13% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.34% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.21%
Total : 20.38%
1-2 @ 5.04% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-1 @ 4.44% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.01 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.81% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.91%
Total : 18.49%

How you voted: Norwich vs Luton

Norwich City
73.8%
Draw
14.8%
Luton Town
11.5%
61
Head to Head
Dec 26, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 24
Luton
2-1
Norwich
Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Pukki (69')
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 16
Norwich
0-1
Luton
Morris (62')
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 35
Norwich
3-0
Luton
Pukki (12', 43'), Cantwell (73')
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Gameweek 15
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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