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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Norwich logo

Luton
2 - 1
Norwich

Campbell (61'), Woodrow (90')
Osho (40'), Lockyer (48')
Osho (81')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Pukki (69')
Gibbs (26')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 2-1 Luton
Saturday, December 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-2 Blackburn
Saturday, December 17 at 5.30pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 1-2 Norwich City

With both managers facing a different kind of pressure in this contest, it remains to be seen how they will approach such a match. Norwich are the favourites, however, and we feel that the Canaries will finish strongly to record an important three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 42.78%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 30.61% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.78%) and 2-0 (7.76%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (9.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Luton Town would win this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
42.78% (0.171 0.17) 26.61% (-0.156 -0.16) 30.61% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 50.85% (0.469 0.47)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.14% (0.602 0.6)53.86% (-0.603 -0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.68% (0.505 0.5)75.32% (-0.50500000000001 -0.51)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.06% (0.36000000000001 0.36)24.94% (-0.361 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.43% (0.496 0.5)59.57% (-0.496 -0.5)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.75% (0.29900000000001 0.3)32.25% (-0.301 -0.3)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.25% (0.336 0.34)68.75% (-0.33799999999999 -0.34)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 42.78%
    Norwich City 30.61%
    Draw 26.61%
Luton TownDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 11.16% (-0.15 -0.15)
2-1 @ 8.78% (0.046999999999999 0.05)
2-0 @ 7.76% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.06% (0.063 0.06)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.027 0.03)
3-2 @ 2.3% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.41% (0.037 0.04)
4-0 @ 1.25% (0.023 0.02)
Other @ 2.47%
Total : 42.78%
1-1 @ 12.64% (-0.059999999999999 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.04% (-0.192 -0.19)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 26.61%
0-1 @ 9.1% (-0.141 -0.14)
1-2 @ 7.15% (0.023000000000001 0.02)
0-2 @ 5.15% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-3 @ 2.7% (0.031 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (0.002 0)
2-3 @ 1.87% (0.04 0.04)
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 30.61%

How you voted: Luton vs Norwich

Luton Town
38.9%
Draw
27.8%
Norwich City
33.3%
18
Head to Head
Oct 18, 2022 7.45pm
Mar 6, 2021 3pm
Dec 2, 2020 7.45pm
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Moncur (15'), Pearson (22'), Collins (47' pen.)
Shea (18')
Buendia (19' pen.)
Placheta (33'), Zimmermann (85')
Sep 5, 2020 3pm
First Round
Luton
3-1
Norwich
Collins (79' pen., 83', 90+5')
Rea (90+4')
Dowell (81')
McCallum (70')
Jul 27, 2019 3pm
Pre-season Friendlies
Luton
1-5
Norwich
Potts (33')
Stiepermann (4'), Drmic (7', 14', 35'), Roberts (56')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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