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Championship | Gameweek 22
Dec 10, 2022 at 3pm UK
Swansea.com Stadium
Norwich logo

Swansea
0 - 1
Norwich


Naughton (49'), Wood (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pukki (1')
Gibson (9'), Hayden (36'), Idah (84'), Giannoulis (86'), McLean (90+1')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Swansea City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 0-0 Swansea
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 1-2 Middlesbrough
Saturday, November 12 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Swansea City 1-1 Norwich City

It is difficult to know exactly what to expect from this match, as it is such a unique season due to the winter break. There is not an awful lot to separate the two sides in terms of quality, though, and we have therefore settled on a low-scoring draw in this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 37.05%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 36.53% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (6.34%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-0 (9.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Norwich City in this match.

Result
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
36.53% (0.018000000000001 0.02) 26.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0) 37.05% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)
Both teams to score 52.81% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.01% (0.009999999999998 0.01)51.99% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.27% (0.0070000000000014 0.01)73.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.52% (0.016000000000005 0.02)27.48% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.02% (0.021000000000001 0.02)62.98% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.82% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)27.18% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.41% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)62.59% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Score Analysis
    Swansea City 36.53%
    Norwich City 37.05%
    Draw 26.42%
Swansea CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.65%
2-1 @ 8.12% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 6.23% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 3.5% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.0029999999999997 0)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-1 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.95%
Total : 36.53%
1-1 @ 12.56% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.47% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
2-2 @ 5.29% (0.0019999999999998 0)
3-3 @ 0.99%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 26.42%
0-1 @ 9.73% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
1-2 @ 8.19% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 6.34% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
1-3 @ 3.56% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.75% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.00099999999999989 0)
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.05%

How you voted: Swansea vs Norwich

Swansea City
47.3%
Draw
31.1%
Norwich City
21.6%
74
Head to Head
Feb 5, 2021 8.15pm
Swansea
2-0
Norwich
Ayew (42'), Hourihane (48')
Bennett (65'), Guehi (69'), Woodman (84')

Idah (67'), Vrancic (78')
Nov 7, 2020 3pm
Norwich
1-0
Swansea
Stiepermann (84')
Aarons (88')

Guehi (17'), Naughton (36'), Bennett (38'), Fulton (55'), Roberts (90+3')
Mar 8, 2019 7.45pm
Nov 24, 2018 3pm
Swansea
1-4
Norwich
James (41')
Van der Hoorn (16' og.), Buendia (24'), Stiepermann (37'), Pukki (60')
Aarons (56'), Lewis (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds30189360194163
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd30196541212061
3Burnley30151323692758
4Sunderland291510442241855
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn30136113429545
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom301014639271244
7Middlesbrough29128947361144
8Norwich CityNorwich30119104942742
9Bristol City30101283835342
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds30119104346-342
11Coventry CityCoventry30118114138341
12Watford30125134042-241
13Millwall301010103027340
14Queens Park RangersQPR30911103339-638
15Preston North EndPreston3081393338-537
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd30910113444-1037
17Swansea CitySwansea3097143242-1034
18Stoke CityStoke30711122837-932
19Cardiff CityCardiff30710133351-1831
20Portsmouth3079143652-1630
21Hull City3078153140-929
22Derby CountyDerby3076173241-927
23Luton TownLuton3076173049-1927
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth30510152963-3425


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