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Luton Town
Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Sunderland

Luton
1 - 1
Sunderland

Morris (45+2')
Doughty (23'), Bell (33')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Embleton (78')
Evans (24'), Cirkin (63'), Clarke (90+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Luton Town and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Luton Town 2-2 Sunderland

Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon. Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
Luton TownDrawSunderland
47.47% (-0.128 -0.13) 26.01% (0.038 0.04) 26.52% (0.093 0.09)
Both teams to score 50.14% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.42% (-0.082999999999998 -0.08)53.58% (0.086000000000006 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.92% (-0.068999999999999 -0.07)75.08% (0.070999999999998 0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.43% (-0.093000000000004 -0.09)22.57% (0.094999999999999 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.84% (-0.13999999999999 -0.14)56.16% (0.143 0.14)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.75% (0.032000000000011 0.03)35.25% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28% (0.032999999999998 0.03)72% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 47.47%
    Sunderland 26.52%
    Draw 26%
Luton TownDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 11.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.19% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.81% (-0.02 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.56% (-0.019 -0.02)
3-0 @ 4.37% (-0.023 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.008 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.013 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.63% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 47.47%
1-1 @ 12.34% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 7.95% (0.027 0.03)
2-2 @ 4.79% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 26%
0-1 @ 8.3% (0.035 0.04)
1-2 @ 6.44% (0.014 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.33% (0.021 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.24% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.67%
0-3 @ 1.5% (0.0079999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 26.52%

How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland

Luton Town
50.0%
Draw
38.2%
Sunderland
11.8%
34
Head to Head
Jan 12, 2019 3pm
Sunderland
1-1
Luton
Maguire (16')
Flanagan (45'), James (75')
Maguire (90')
Collins (67' pen.)
Lee (45'), Shinnie (62'), Collins (80'), McCormack (90')
Hylton (70')
Aug 11, 2018 3pm
Luton
1-1
Sunderland
Pearson (68')
McCormack (56'), Grant (60')
Maja (45')
Matthews (20'), Baldwin (61'), Loovens (90')
May 6, 2007 3pm
Luton
0-5
Sunderland

Coyne (43'), Idrizaj (45'), Keane (85'), Brkovic (89')
Murphy (6', 46'), Stokes (4')
Stokes (26'), Evans (55'), Collins (81')
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
Sunderland
2-1
Luton
Connolly (53'), Murphy (9')
Morgan (5')
Brkovic (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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