Championship | Gameweek 18
Oct 29, 2022 at 3pm UK
Kenilworth Road Stadium
Luton1 - 1Sunderland
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Watford 4-0 Luton
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Sunday, October 23 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-4 Burnley
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
Saturday, October 22 at 3pm in Championship
We said: Luton Town 2-2 Sunderland
Luton will be desperate to bounce back after a heavy loss at Watford that ended an impressive eight-game unbeaten run in the Championship when Sunderland visit on Saturday afternoon. Both sides have attacking talent to trouble defences and both have been letting in plenty of goals of late, so we are anticipating an exciting encounter at Kenilworth Road. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Luton Town win with a probability of 47.47%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 26.52% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Luton Town win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.81%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.3%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
| Result | ||
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
47.47% ( -0.13) | 26.01% ( 0.04) | 26.52% ( 0.09) |
| Both teams to score 50.14% ( -0.04) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.42% ( -0.08) | 53.58% ( 0.09) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.92% ( -0.07) | 75.08% ( 0.07) |
| Luton Town Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.43% ( -0.09) | 22.57% ( 0.09) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 43.84% ( -0.14) | 56.16% ( 0.14) |
| Sunderland Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 64.75% ( 0.03) | 35.25% ( -0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
| 28% ( 0.03) | 72% ( -0.03) |
| Score Analysis |
Luton Town 47.47%
Sunderland 26.52%
Draw 26%
| Luton Town | Draw | Sunderland |
| 1-0 @ 11.84% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.19% ( -0.01)2-0 @ 8.81% ( -0.02)3-1 @ 4.56% ( -0.02)3-0 @ 4.37% ( -0.02)3-2 @ 2.38% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.01)4-0 @ 1.63% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.99% Total : 47.47% | 1-1 @ 12.34% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.95% ( 0.03)2-2 @ 4.79% ( -0)Other @ 0.91% Total : 26% | 0-1 @ 8.3% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.01)0-2 @ 4.33% ( 0.02)1-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 1.67% 0-3 @ 1.5% ( 0.01)Other @ 2.05% Total : 26.52% |
How you voted: Luton vs Sunderland
Luton Town
50.0%Draw
38.2%Sunderland
11.8%34
Head to Head
Dec 9, 2006 3pm
