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Championship | Gameweek 16
Oct 18, 2022 at 8pm UK
Ewood Park
Sunderland

Blackburn
2 - 0
Sunderland

Brereton Diaz (32'), Wharton (49')
Morton (40'), Szmodics (65'), Carter (74')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Pritchard (30'), Cirkin (48'), Bennette (66')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship clash between Blackburn Rovers and Sunderland, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Blackburn
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 Wigan
Saturday, October 15 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-1 Sunderland

Blackburn are back on home turf for the first time in three matches and could go top of the Championship with a positive result against Sunderland. Lewis Travis will be a massive miss for the home side, but their firepower and good home form should be enough to collect three points against former manager Mowbray. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 43.31%. A win for Sunderland had a probability of 30.51% and a draw had a probability of 26.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Sunderland win was 0-1 (8.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.45%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Blackburn Rovers would win this match.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
43.31% (0.477 0.48) 26.18% (-0.194 -0.19) 30.51% (-0.282 -0.28)
Both teams to score 52.12% (0.476 0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
47.8% (0.675 0.68)52.21% (-0.672 -0.67)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.09% (0.578 0.58)73.91% (-0.57600000000001 -0.58)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.06% (0.53400000000001 0.53)23.95% (-0.532 -0.53)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
41.83% (0.75700000000001 0.76)58.17% (-0.755 -0.76)
Sunderland Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.146 0.15)31.47% (-0.145 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.17 0.17)67.85% (-0.16799999999999 -0.17)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 43.31%
    Sunderland 30.51%
    Draw 26.18%
Blackburn RoversDrawSunderland
1-0 @ 10.77% (-0.12 -0.12)
2-1 @ 8.9% (0.074 0.07)
2-0 @ 7.7% (0.034000000000001 0.03)
3-1 @ 4.24% (0.1 0.1)
3-0 @ 3.67% (0.072 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.45% (0.068 0.07)
4-1 @ 1.52% (0.058 0.06)
4-0 @ 1.31% (0.046 0.05)
Other @ 2.75%
Total : 43.31%
1-1 @ 12.45% (-0.09 -0.09)
0-0 @ 7.54% (-0.203 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.15% (0.063 0.06)
3-3 @ 0.95% (0.03 0.03)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.18%
0-1 @ 8.71% (-0.199 -0.2)
1-2 @ 7.2% (-0.022 -0.02)
0-2 @ 5.04% (-0.095000000000001 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.77% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 1.98% (0.032 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.94% (-0.028 -0.03)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 30.51%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Sunderland

Blackburn Rovers
71.6%
Draw
13.4%
Sunderland
14.9%
67
Head to Head
Mar 20, 2012 8pm
Dec 11, 2011 1.30pm
Jan 1, 2011 3pm
Sunderland
3-0
Blackburn
Bent (19'), Welbeck (11'), Gyan (89')
Ferdinand (79')

Dunn (51'), Biram Diouf (69')
Oct 18, 2010 3pm
Dec 28, 2009 3pm
Blackburn
2-2
Sunderland
Bent (52', 65')
Nosworthy (30'), Meyler (36'), Bardsley (88'), Da Silva (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd28186440182258
2Leeds UnitedLeeds27168351193256
3Sunderland28159440221854
4Burnley27141123192253
5Middlesbrough28128846341244
6Blackburn RoversBlackburn28126103126542
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom2891453324941
8Watford28125113939041
9Queens Park RangersQPR2891183235-338
10Bristol City2791083331237
11Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds27107103843-537
12Norwich CityNorwich279994339436
13Coventry CityCoventry2898113737035
14Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2898113343-1035
15Swansea CitySwansea2897123135-434
16Preston North EndPreston2871383035-534
17Millwall27710102626031
18Stoke CityStoke27610112533-828
19Cardiff CityCardiff28610123143-1228
20Derby CountyDerby2876153138-727
21Hull City2868142738-1126
22Portsmouth2668123245-1326
23Luton TownLuton2875162947-1826
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2749142555-3021


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