Home > Football > Championship
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 56.73%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Portsmouth had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.05%) and 2-1 (9.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Portsmouth win it was 0-1 (6.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Watford would win this match.
Result | ||
Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
56.73% ( -0.06) | 24.07% ( 0.01) | 19.2% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 47.26% ( 0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.98% ( 0.03) | 53.02% ( -0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.39% ( 0.02) | 74.61% ( -0.02) |
Watford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.47% ( -0.01) | 18.53% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.23% ( -0.02) | 49.77% ( 0.03) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
58.01% ( 0.08) | 41.99% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
21.58% ( 0.07) | 78.42% ( -0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Watford | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 13.11% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 11.05% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0) 3-0 @ 6.21% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.39% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.62% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.34% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.27% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.99% ( 0) Other @ 3.15% Total : 56.72% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.78% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.16% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.74% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 6.75% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 4.94% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.93% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.43% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.2% ( 0) Other @ 1.95% Total : 19.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 28 | 17 | 8 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 59 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 28 | 15 | 11 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 56 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
15 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
16 | Millwall | 28 | 8 | 10 | 10 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 34 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 28 | 7 | 8 | 13 | 36 | 51 | -15 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
> Championship Full Table |