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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 29, 2024 at 3pm UK
Vicarage Road
Cardiff City logo

Watford
1 - 2
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (38')
Louza (60'), Andrews (86')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Robinson (1', 42')
Rinomhota (55'), Chambers (69'), Daland (81')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Championship clash between Watford and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 2-1 Portsmouth
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Oxford Utd 3-2 Cardiff
Thursday, December 26 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Watford 2-0 Cardiff City

Cardiff are yet to win on their travels this season, and they will be coming up against the team with the second-best home record in the Championship during the 2024-25 campaign, so we can only see one result on Sunday afternoon. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 53.78%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 21.24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.45%) and 2-1 (9.47%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.8%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 0-1 (7.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
WatfordDrawCardiff City
53.78% (-0.012999999999998 -0.01) 24.98% (0.010999999999999 0.01) 21.24%
Both teams to score 47.62% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.9% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)54.09% (0.044000000000004 0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.48% (-0.038 -0.04)75.51% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.91% (-0.025999999999996 -0.03)20.09% (0.024999999999999 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.67% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)52.33% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
59.6% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)40.4% (0.024000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
22.98% (-0.023 -0.02)77.01% (0.022999999999996 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Watford 53.77%
    Cardiff City 21.24%
    Draw 24.97%
WatfordDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 13.02% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 10.45%
2-1 @ 9.47% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
3-0 @ 5.59% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 5.07% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-2 @ 2.3% (-0.004 -0)
4-0 @ 2.24% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-1 @ 2.03% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-2 @ 0.92% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 53.77%
1-1 @ 11.8%
0-0 @ 8.12% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
2-2 @ 4.29% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 24.97%
0-1 @ 7.36% (0.008 0.01)
1-2 @ 5.35% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-2 @ 3.33% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-3 @ 1.62% (-0.002 -0)
2-3 @ 1.3% (-0.002 -0)
0-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 1.28%
Total : 21.24%

How you voted: Watford vs Cardiff

Watford
71.0%
Draw
16.1%
Cardiff City
12.9%
62
Head to Head
Feb 3, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 30
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Chakvetadze (44'), Pollock (47'), Livermore (50')
Bowler (43')
Colwill (51'), Bowler (69'), Goutas (90+1')
Oct 7, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 11
Cardiff
1-1
Watford
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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