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Championship | Gameweek 11
Oct 7, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Watford logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Watford

FT(HT: 1-0)
Issouf Bayo (54')
Sierralta (39'), Lewis (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Watford, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sunderland 2-0 Watford
Wednesday, October 4 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Watford

With Cardiff having lost out at Middlesbrough, Watford will sense an opportunity to get back on track. Nevertheless, the Welsh side have been excellent at home this season and we cannot envisage Watford getting over the line, even if they do prove to be competitive. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 50.27%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Watford had a probability of 23.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.91%) and 2-1 (9.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.33%), while for a Watford win it was 0-1 (8.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.3% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
50.27% (0.509 0.51) 26.24% (-0.151 -0.15) 23.48% (-0.36 -0.36)
Both teams to score 46.71% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.34% (0.246 0.25)56.66% (-0.248 -0.25)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.38% (0.198 0.2)77.62% (-0.2 -0.2)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.38% (0.331 0.33)22.62% (-0.333 -0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.77% (0.491 0.49)56.23% (-0.492 -0.49)
Watford Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.36% (-0.202 -0.2)39.64% (0.201 0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
23.68% (-0.185 -0.18)76.32% (0.18299999999999 0.18)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 50.27%
    Watford 23.48%
    Draw 26.24%
Cardiff CityDrawWatford
1-0 @ 13.32%
2-0 @ 9.91% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.17% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.91% (0.097 0.1)
3-1 @ 4.54% (0.066 0.07)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.019 0.02)
4-0 @ 1.82% (0.054 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.69% (0.041 0.04)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 50.27%
1-1 @ 12.33% (-0.06 -0.06)
0-0 @ 8.97% (-0.086 -0.09)
2-2 @ 4.24% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
Other @ 0.71%
Total : 26.24%
0-1 @ 8.3% (-0.126 -0.13)
1-2 @ 5.71% (-0.061 -0.06)
0-2 @ 3.84% (-0.079 -0.08)
1-3 @ 1.76% (-0.029 -0.03)
2-3 @ 1.31% (-0.008 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.18% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 1.39%
Total : 23.48%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Watford

Cardiff City
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
Watford
14.3%
42
Head to Head
Apr 19, 2023 7.45pm
Gameweek 43
Watford
1-3
Cardiff
Sarr (11')
Etete (31'), Kipre (35'), Kaba (42')
Nov 2, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 19
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Kipre (9')
Sierralta (38'), Sarr (59')
Mar 13, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 36
Cardiff
1-2
Watford
Sierralta (14' og.)
Bacuna (81'), Ng (90+2')
Chalobah (15'), Masina (90+3')
Bachmann (39'), Hughes (45+1'), Sarr (82'), Sierralta (85')
Dec 5, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 16
Watford
0-1
Cardiff

Perica (89')
Moore (43')
Ojo (60'), Ralls (66')
Feb 22, 2019 7.45pm
Gameweek 27
Cardiff
1-5
Watford
Bamba (82')
Paterson (85')
Deulofeu (18', 61', 63'), Deeney (73', 91')
Capoue (30'), Pereyra (55')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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