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Championship | Gameweek 21
Dec 14, 2024 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Cardiff City logo

Stoke
2 - 2
Cardiff

Moran (17'), Gibson (90+5')
Moran (24'), Wilmot (65'), Gibson (66'), Famiwuya (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
El Ghazi (32'), B (73' og.)
Ralls (43')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Cardiff City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-1 Stoke
Tuesday, December 10 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Wednesday, December 11 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-0 Cardiff City

In the midst of a six-game winless run, Stoke will view Saturday's visit of relegation rivals Cardiff as the perfect opportunity to get back to winning ways. The Bluebirds will be bruised after their woeful Wednesday night with Preston, and we feel that the Welsh outfit's luckless spell on the road will stretch to 10 games. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 46.64%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 28.01% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.28%) and 2-0 (8.17%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 0-1 (7.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
46.64% (0.0079999999999956 0.01) 25.34% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01) 28.01% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
Both teams to score 53.3% (0.023000000000003 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.01% (0.030999999999999 0.03)49.98% (-0.033999999999999 -0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.03% (0.029 0.03)71.96% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
78.56% (0.016999999999996 0.02)21.43% (-0.02 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
45.55% (0.026999999999994 0.03)54.45% (-0.029000000000003 -0.03)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
67.84% (0.013000000000005 0.01)32.15% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.36% (0.016999999999999 0.02)68.64% (-0.018999999999991 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 46.64%
    Cardiff City 28.01%
    Draw 25.34%
Stoke CityDrawCardiff City
1-0 @ 10.61% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.28% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-0 @ 8.17% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.76% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 4.2% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 2.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-1 @ 1.83% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.62% (0.002 0)
4-2 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 46.64%
1-1 @ 12.04%
0-0 @ 6.89% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.26% (0.0039999999999996 0)
3-3 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.34%
0-1 @ 7.82% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.83% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.44% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
1-3 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.99% (0.002 0)
0-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 28.01%

How you voted: Stoke vs Cardiff

Stoke City
75.7%
Draw
13.5%
Cardiff City
10.8%
37
Head to Head
Feb 24, 2024 3pm
Gameweek 34
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Etete (5'), Grant (32')
Ng (40'), Siopis (51'), Ralls (76'), Goutas (83')
Bae (41')
Thompson (45+2'), Burger (73')
Nov 4, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 15
Stoke
0-0
Cardiff
McNally (42')
Apr 22, 2023 3pm
Gameweek 44
Cardiff
1-1
Stoke
Kaba (29')
Laurent (16')
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Leeds UnitedLeeds26158348192953
2Burnley26141023192252
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd26166436171952
4Sunderland26148439221750
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2612683123842
6Middlesbrough26118743321141
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom26913432211140
8Watford26115103637-138
9Bristol City2691073330337
10Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds2610793840-237
11Norwich CityNorwich269984337636
12Swansea CitySwansea2697103030034
13Queens Park RangersQPR2671182934-532
14Millwall257992423130
15Preston North EndPreston2661282834-630
16Coventry CityCoventry2678113437-329
17Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2678112941-1229
18Derby CountyDerby2676133135-427
19Stoke CityStoke2669112432-827
20Luton TownLuton2674152744-1725
21Cardiff CityCardiff2659122641-1524
22Hull City2658132536-1123
23Portsmouth2558123044-1423
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2649132554-2921


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