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Championship | Gameweek 44
Apr 22, 2023 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Stoke logo

Cardiff
1 - 1
Stoke

Kaba (29')
Ralls (33'), Etete (42'), Sawyers (44')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Laurent (16')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Stoke City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Watford 1-3 Cardiff
Wednesday, April 19 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Stoke 0-1 Wigan
Tuesday, April 18 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-1 Stoke City

Neil will feel that he needs a strong end to the season to keep his job at the bet365 Stadium and Stoke have the quality to prevail from this contest. However, Cardiff turned a corner in midweek, and the extra motivation may lead to them edging this contest by the odd goal in three. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 47.6%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Cardiff City had a probability of 25.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.13%) and 1-2 (9.07%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.51%), while for a Cardiff City win it was 1-0 (8.65%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
25.89% (-0.177 -0.18) 26.51% (0.102 0.1) 47.6% (0.076999999999998 0.08)
Both teams to score 48.16% (-0.432 -0.43)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.11% (-0.487 -0.49)55.89% (0.49 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23% (-0.397 -0.4)77% (0.39999999999999 0.4)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.96% (-0.418 -0.42)37.04% (0.421 0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.17% (-0.419 -0.42)73.83% (0.422 0.42)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.5% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)23.5% (0.177 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.47% (-0.252 -0.25)57.53% (0.256 0.26)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 25.89%
    Stoke City 47.59%
    Draw 26.5%
Cardiff CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 8.65% (0.065 0.06)
2-1 @ 6.22% (-0.057 -0.06)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.06% (-0.043 -0.04)
3-2 @ 1.49% (-0.039 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.42% (-0.022 -0.02)
Other @ 1.76%
Total : 25.89%
1-1 @ 12.51% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.7% (0.163 0.16)
2-2 @ 4.5% (-0.064 -0.06)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 26.5%
0-1 @ 12.6% (0.17 0.17)
0-2 @ 9.13% (0.078000000000001 0.08)
1-2 @ 9.07% (-0.026 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.41% (0.015 0.01)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.034999999999999 -0.03)
2-3 @ 2.17% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.6% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
1-4 @ 1.58% (-0.021 -0.02)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 47.59%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Stoke

Cardiff City
78.3%
Draw
13.0%
Stoke City
8.7%
23
Head to Head
Dec 10, 2022 3pm
gameweek 22
Stoke
2-2
Cardiff
Campbell (11'), Delap (18')
Souttar (39')
Wintle (6'), Robinson (58')
Mar 16, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 38
Cardiff
2-1
Stoke
Doyle (39'), Hugill (43')
Hugill (68')
Baker (23')
Oct 30, 2021 3pm
gameweek 15
Stoke
3-3
Cardiff
Brown (9'), Fletcher (16', 46')
Wilmot (62'), Souttar (64'), Surridge (83')
Colwill (66'), Harris (70'), Moore (71')
Nelson (39'), Bacuna (57'), Harris (89')
Mar 16, 2021 7pm
gameweek 37
Cardiff
0-0
Stoke

Pack (56')

Allen (88')
Dec 8, 2020 7.45pm
gameweek 17
Stoke
1-2
Cardiff
Morrison (25' og.)
Smith (62'), McClean (73')
Glatzel (66'), Morrison (76')
Vaulks (24'), Ojo (90+5')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Lions
34-17
Bears
FT
Browns
6-24
Bengals
9.25pm
Patriots
@
Bills
FT
Titans
30-38
Colts
FT
Giants
7-34
Falcons
FT
Rams
19-9
Jets
FT
Cardinals
30-36
Panthers
FT
Eagles
33-36
Washington
9.05pm
Vikings
@
Seahawks
9.25pm
49ers
@
Dolphins
9.25pm
Jags
@
Raiders
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


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