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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 39.02%. A win for West Bromwich Albion had a probability of 34.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest West Bromwich Albion win was 0-1 (9.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
39.02% ( -0.32) | 26.28% ( -0.07) | 34.7% ( 0.4) |
Both teams to score 53.14% ( 0.31) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.5% ( 0.37) | 51.49% ( -0.37) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.7% ( 0.32) | 73.3% ( -0.32) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.15% ( -0) | 25.84% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.18% ( -0.01) | 60.81% ( 0.01) |
West Bromwich Albion Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.66% ( 0.43) | 28.34% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
35.92% ( 0.54) | 64.07% ( -0.53) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | West Bromwich Albion |
1-0 @ 9.91% ( -0.14) 2-1 @ 8.45% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.71% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.02% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.02% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.39% Total : 39.02% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 7.32% ( -0.11) 2-2 @ 5.33% ( 0.05) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 9.24% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 7.88% ( 0.07) 0-2 @ 5.82% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.31% ( 0.07) 0-3 @ 2.45% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 2.24% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.73% Total : 34.7% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 28 | 18 | 6 | 4 | 40 | 18 | 22 | 58 |
2 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 27 | 16 | 8 | 3 | 51 | 19 | 32 | 56 |
3 | Sunderland | 28 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 40 | 22 | 18 | 54 |
4 | Burnley | 27 | 14 | 11 | 2 | 31 | 9 | 22 | 53 |
5 | Middlesbrough | 28 | 12 | 8 | 8 | 46 | 34 | 12 | 44 |
6 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 28 | 12 | 6 | 10 | 31 | 26 | 5 | 42 |
7 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 28 | 9 | 14 | 5 | 33 | 24 | 9 | 41 |
8 | Watford | 28 | 12 | 5 | 11 | 39 | 39 | 0 | 41 |
9 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 28 | 9 | 11 | 8 | 32 | 35 | -3 | 38 |
10 | Bristol City | 27 | 9 | 10 | 8 | 33 | 31 | 2 | 37 |
11 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 27 | 10 | 7 | 10 | 38 | 43 | -5 | 37 |
12 | Norwich CityNorwich | 27 | 9 | 9 | 9 | 43 | 39 | 4 | 36 |
13 | Coventry CityCoventry | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 37 | 37 | 0 | 35 |
14 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 28 | 9 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 35 |
15 | Swansea CitySwansea | 28 | 9 | 7 | 12 | 31 | 35 | -4 | 34 |
16 | Preston North EndPreston | 28 | 7 | 13 | 8 | 30 | 35 | -5 | 34 |
17 | Millwall | 27 | 7 | 10 | 10 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 31 |
18 | Stoke CityStoke | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 33 | -8 | 28 |
19 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 28 | 6 | 10 | 12 | 31 | 43 | -12 | 28 |
20 | Derby CountyDerby | 28 | 7 | 6 | 15 | 31 | 38 | -7 | 27 |
21 | Hull City | 28 | 6 | 8 | 14 | 27 | 38 | -11 | 26 |
22 | Portsmouth | 26 | 6 | 8 | 12 | 32 | 45 | -13 | 26 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 28 | 7 | 5 | 16 | 29 | 47 | -18 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 27 | 4 | 9 | 14 | 25 | 55 | -30 | 21 |
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