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Championship | Gameweek 38
Mar 18, 2023 at 3pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
Norwich logo

Stoke
0 - 0
Norwich


Wilmot (17'), Pearson (52')
FT

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Stoke City and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huddersfield 1-1 Norwich
Wednesday, March 15 at 7.45pm in Championship

We said: Stoke City 2-1 Norwich City

Stoke continue a tough run of fixtures by welcoming Norwich to the bet365 Stadium on Saturday, although they will be confident of extending their unbeaten run to four games following impressive performances over the past week. The Canaries suffered a disappointing result and more injury setbacks at Huddersfield in the week, and we feel those circumstances could contribute to another poor showing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Norwich City win with a probability of 41.21%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 31.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Norwich City win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.6%) and 0-2 (7.44%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.73%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
31.98% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01) 26.81% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01) 41.21% (0.012999999999998 0.01)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.79% (0.023000000000003 0.02)54.21% (-0.022999999999996 -0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.38% (0.018000000000001 0.02)75.61% (-0.019000000000005 -0.02)
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.53% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)31.47% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.15% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)67.85% (-0.0080000000000098 -0.01)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.09% (0.016000000000005 0.02)25.91% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.09% (0.021999999999998 0.02)60.9% (-0.023000000000003 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 31.98%
    Norwich City 41.21%
    Draw 26.8%
Stoke CityDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.43% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-0 @ 5.45% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-1 @ 2.84% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.1%
3-2 @ 1.92% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.89%
Total : 31.98%
1-1 @ 12.73%
0-0 @ 8.15% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.97% (0.0019999999999998 0)
Other @ 0.95%
Total : 26.8%
0-1 @ 11.01%
1-2 @ 8.6% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 7.44% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-3 @ 3.35% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-3 @ 2.24% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.002 0)
0-4 @ 1.13% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 41.21%

How you voted: Stoke vs Norwich

Stoke City
44.3%
Draw
28.6%
Norwich City
27.1%
70
Head to Head
Oct 29, 2022 3pm
Norwich
3-1
Stoke
Ramsey (38', 71'), Sara (77')
Dowell (19')
Powell (90+2')
Feb 13, 2021 3pm
Norwich
4-1
Stoke
Cantwell (15'), Pukki (44', 80' pen.), Buendia (64')
Powell (61')
Powell (42'), Obi Mikel (43')
Nov 24, 2020 7pm
Stoke
2-3
Norwich
Campbell (70'), Collins (79')
Batth (18'), Fletcher (28')
Buendia (18'), Pukki (27', 57')
Stiepermann (23'), Hanley (58'), Buendia (64')
Buendia (69')
Apr 22, 2019 3pm
Oct 6, 2018 3pm
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland1594225111431
2Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1510321971231
3Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
4Burnley157621861227
5West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom15672169725
6Watford158162322125
7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds155371725-818
16Oxford UnitedOxford Utd154561718-117
17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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