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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Den
Norwich logo

Millwall
2 - 3
Norwich

Bradshaw (20'), Flemming (83')
Leonard (12'), McNamara (67')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Sorensen (38'), Bradshaw (55' og.), Sara (65')
Hernandez (35'), Gibson (80'), Aarons (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Millwall and Norwich City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Luton 2-2 Millwall
Tuesday, February 28 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Millwall 1-1 Norwich City

This has all the makings of a highly-competitive game and Norwich will be confident of becoming just the third team to defeat Millwall at The Den this season. However, we feel that a share of the spoils is most likely, one which would still suit the visitors more so than their hosts. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawNorwich City
36.47% (0.176 0.18) 27.22% (-0.012 -0.01) 36.3% (-0.16 -0.16)
Both teams to score 50.21% (0.042999999999999 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.74% (0.053000000000004 0.05)55.26% (-0.053000000000004 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.52% (0.045000000000002 0.05)76.48% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.91% (0.13500000000001 0.14)29.09% (-0.132 -0.13)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.99% (0.163 0.16)65.01% (-0.16200000000001 -0.16)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.8% (-0.072000000000003 -0.07)29.2% (0.074000000000002 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.86% (-0.086000000000006 -0.09)65.14% (0.090000000000003 0.09)
Score Analysis
    Millwall 36.47%
    Norwich City 36.3%
    Draw 27.22%
MillwallDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 10.48% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 7.97% (0.026 0.03)
2-0 @ 6.47% (0.034 0.03)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.023 0.02)
3-0 @ 2.67% (0.024 0.02)
3-2 @ 2.02% (0.01 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 2.56%
Total : 36.47%
1-1 @ 12.91%
0-0 @ 8.49% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.91% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Other @ 0.91%
Total : 27.22%
0-1 @ 10.45% (-0.040000000000001 -0.04)
1-2 @ 7.95% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 6.44% (-0.039 -0.04)
1-3 @ 3.26% (-0.014 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.64% (-0.021 -0.02)
2-3 @ 2.01% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
1-4 @ 1% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%

How you voted: Millwall vs Norwich

Millwall
46.5%
Draw
20.9%
Norwich City
32.6%
43
Head to Head
Aug 19, 2022 8pm
Norwich
2-0
Millwall
Sargent (50', 75')
Gibbs (84'), Krul (90+2')

Saville (19'), Honeyman (66')
Feb 2, 2021 6pm
Nov 3, 2020 7pm
Mar 2, 2019 3pm
Nov 10, 2018 3pm
Norwich
4-3
Millwall
Pukki (49', 90'), Leitner (79'), Rhodes (90')
Leitner (66'), Buendia (86')
Elliott (24'), Leonard (81'), Wallace (83')
Wallace (37'), Hutchinson (51'), Elliott (69'), McLaughlin (90'), Amos (90')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sunderland139222391429
2Leeds UnitedLeeds137512281426
3Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd138321661025
4Burnley136521761123
5Watford137152221122
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom13562148621
7Millwall135441612419
8Blackburn RoversBlackburn135441614219
9Bristol City134721717019
10Norwich CityNorwich134632318518
11Middlesbrough135351415-118
12Swansea CitySwansea13445109116
13Coventry CityCoventry134361717015
14Derby CountyDerby134361617-115
15Hull City133641517-215
16Stoke CityStoke134361518-315
17Cardiff CityCardiff134361319-615
18Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds134361524-915
19Oxford UnitedOxford Utd133551617-114
20Preston North EndPreston133551420-614
21Luton TownLuton133371521-612
22Plymouth ArgylePlymouth133371325-1212
23Queens Park RangersQPR131751119-810
24Portsmouth131661326-139


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