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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 36.47%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.97%) and 2-0 (6.47%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (10.45%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Millwall | Draw | Norwich City |
36.47% ( 0.18) | 27.22% ( -0.01) | 36.3% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 50.21% ( 0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
44.74% ( 0.05) | 55.26% ( -0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.52% ( 0.05) | 76.48% ( -0.04) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.91% ( 0.14) | 29.09% ( -0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.99% ( 0.16) | 65.01% ( -0.16) |
Norwich City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.8% ( -0.07) | 29.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.86% ( -0.09) | 65.14% ( 0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Millwall | Draw | Norwich City |
1-0 @ 10.48% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 7.97% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 6.47% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.67% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.56% Total : 36.47% | 1-1 @ 12.91% 0-0 @ 8.49% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.91% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.91% Total : 27.22% | 0-1 @ 10.45% ( -0.04) 1-2 @ 7.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.04) 1-3 @ 3.26% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 2.01% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.54% Total : 36.3% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 29 | 17 | 9 | 3 | 53 | 19 | 34 | 60 |
2 | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 29 | 18 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 21 | 19 | 58 |
3 | Burnley | 29 | 15 | 12 | 2 | 36 | 9 | 27 | 57 |
4 | Sunderland | 29 | 15 | 10 | 4 | 42 | 24 | 18 | 55 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 29 | 10 | 14 | 5 | 38 | 25 | 13 | 44 |
6 | Middlesbrough | 29 | 12 | 8 | 9 | 47 | 36 | 11 | 44 |
7 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 29 | 12 | 6 | 11 | 32 | 28 | 4 | 42 |
8 | Bristol City | 29 | 10 | 11 | 8 | 37 | 34 | 3 | 41 |
9 | Watford | 29 | 12 | 5 | 12 | 40 | 41 | -1 | 41 |
10 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 29 | 11 | 8 | 10 | 42 | 45 | -3 | 41 |
11 | Norwich CityNorwich | 29 | 10 | 9 | 10 | 48 | 42 | 6 | 39 |
12 | Coventry CityCoventry | 29 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 39 | 38 | 1 | 38 |
13 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 29 | 9 | 11 | 9 | 32 | 37 | -5 | 38 |
14 | Millwall | 29 | 9 | 10 | 10 | 28 | 26 | 2 | 37 |
15 | Preston North EndPreston | 29 | 8 | 13 | 8 | 32 | 36 | -4 | 37 |
16 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 29 | 9 | 9 | 11 | 33 | 43 | -10 | 36 |
17 | Swansea CitySwansea | 29 | 9 | 7 | 13 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 34 |
18 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 29 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 31 |
19 | Hull City | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 30 | 38 | -8 | 29 |
20 | Stoke CityStoke | 29 | 6 | 11 | 12 | 26 | 36 | -10 | 29 |
21 | Portsmouth | 29 | 7 | 8 | 14 | 36 | 52 | -16 | 29 |
22 | Derby CountyDerby | 29 | 7 | 6 | 16 | 32 | 40 | -8 | 27 |
23 | Luton TownLuton | 29 | 7 | 5 | 17 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 26 |
24 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 29 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 27 | 62 | -35 | 22 |
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