We say: Olympiacos 2-0 Qarabag FK
Given the low-scoring Olympiacos' motivation for a top-eight berth and Qarabag's elimination, the Greek side are backed to secure a slender win on Thursday.
However, much will depend on El Kaabi delivering the goods despite his side's overreliance on him for goalscoring contributions.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Qarabag FK has a probability of 24.44% and a draw has a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.33%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win is 1-2 (6.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.71%).