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Inter logo
Champions League | League Stage
Jan 29, 2025 at 8pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Monaco

Inter Milan
3 - 0
Monaco

Martinez (4' pen., 16', 67')
Pavard (66'), Asllani (81')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Zakaria (3'), Vanderson (45+3')
Mawissa (12')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Champions League clash between Inter Milan and Monaco, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 3-2 Rennes
Saturday, January 25 at 4pm in Ligue 1

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Monaco

Considering that 17 of Inter's last 22 Champions League games have seen two goals or less, including six of their seven this season, another tight encounter is on the cards, but one that should go in favour of the hosts. Monaco have recovered from a poor start to 2025, but this will be their biggest challenge for quite some time, and the visitors may have to settle for a spot in the playoffs. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 52.56%. A win for Monaco had a probability of 24.65% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.81%) and 2-0 (8.13%). The likeliest Monaco win was 1-2 (6.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.54%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawMonaco
52.56% (0.019000000000005 0.02) 22.78% (0.0019999999999989 0) 24.65% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Both teams to score 58.74% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.6% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)41.39% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.2% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)63.79% (0.033999999999999 0.03)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.2% (-0.0069999999999908 -0.01)15.8% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.05% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)44.95% (0.0079999999999956 0.01)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.76% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)30.23% (0.036999999999999 0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.6% (-0.048000000000002 -0.05)66.4% (0.045000000000002 0.05)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 52.56%
    Monaco 24.65%
    Draw 22.78%
Inter MilanDrawMonaco
2-1 @ 9.73% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 8.81% (0.012 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.13% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-1 @ 5.98%
3-0 @ 5% (0.0059999999999993 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.58% (-0.004 -0)
4-1 @ 2.76% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-0 @ 2.31% (0.0019999999999998 0)
4-2 @ 1.65% (-0.002 -0)
5-1 @ 1.02%
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 52.56%
1-1 @ 10.54% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 5.82% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.78% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.43% (-0.0029999999999999 -0)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.31% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
0-1 @ 5.71% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 3.42% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
1-3 @ 2.52% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 2.32% (-0.004 -0)
0-3 @ 1.36% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 3.02%
Total : 24.65%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Monaco

Inter Milan
84.1%
Draw
11.9%
Monaco
4.0%
176
Head to Head
Jul 16, 2022 7.30pm
Club Friendlies
Inter Milan
2-2
Monaco
Gagliardini (42'), Asllani (59')
Golovin (7'), Ben Yedder (30')
rhs 2.0
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