MX23RW : Friday, March 14 04:08:08| >> :60:2810:2810:
Monaco
Champions League | League Stage
Oct 22, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stade Louis II.
Red Star Belgrade

Monaco
5 - 1
Red Star

Minamino (20', 70'), Embolo (45+4'), Singo (54'), Akliouche (90+7')
Kehrer (26')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Ndiaye (27' pen.)
Maksimovic (45+2')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Champions League clash between Monaco and Red Star Belgrade, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Monaco 0-0 Lille
Friday, October 18 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Inter Milan 4-0 Red Star
Tuesday, October 1 at 8pm in Champions League

We said: Monaco 4-1 Red Star Belgrade

Red Star's away form in the Champions League says it all, and a 12th straight defeat on the road is expected against a Monaco side that are yet to lose this season. No team has gone on a longer run in the UCL without a clean sheet than Monaco (22 games), but they should have more than enough in attack to comfortably sweep their Serbian opponents aside here. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 48.65%. A win for Red Star Belgrade had a probability of 28.56% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.53%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Red Star Belgrade win was 1-2 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.23%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Monaco would win this match.

Result
MonacoDrawRed Star Belgrade
48.65% (0.0030000000000001 0) 22.79% (0.0010000000000012 0) 28.56% (-0.0070000000000014 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.43% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.85% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)38.14% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
39.58% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)60.41% (0.0039999999999978 0)
Monaco Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.01%15.99% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.69%45.3% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Red Star Belgrade Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.32% (-0.007000000000005 -0.01)25.68% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.4% (-0.0089999999999932 -0.01)60.59% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Monaco 48.65%
    Red Star Belgrade 28.56%
    Draw 22.78%
MonacoDrawRed Star Belgrade
2-1 @ 9.38% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.53% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-1 @ 5.73%
3-0 @ 4.22% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-2 @ 3.9% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.63%
4-0 @ 1.93%
4-2 @ 1.79%
5-1 @ 0.96%
Other @ 3.69%
Total : 48.65%
1-1 @ 10.23%
2-2 @ 6.38% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-0 @ 4.11% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-3 @ 1.77%
Other @ 0.3%
Total : 22.78%
1-2 @ 6.96% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-1 @ 5.58%
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 3.15% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-3 @ 2.89% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-3 @ 1.72% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.07% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 0.98%
Other @ 2.41%
Total : 28.56%

How you voted: Monaco vs Red Star

Monaco
Draw
Red Star Belgrade
Monaco
85.9%
Draw
8.8%
Red Star Belgrade
5.3%
227
Head to Head
Nov 3, 2022 5.45pm
Group Stage
Monaco
4-1
Red Star
Volland (5', 27', 87'), Rodic (50' og.)
Kanga (54' pen.)
Sep 8, 2022 8pm
Group Stage
Red Star
0-1
Monaco
Embolo (74' pen.)
rhs 2.0
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