Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monaco win with a probability of 38.02%. A win for Rennes had a probability of 37.61% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monaco win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.57%) and 0-2 (5.67%). The likeliest Rennes win was 2-1 (8.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.26%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-2 win for Monaco in this match.
Result | ||
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
37.61% ( -0.17) | 24.37% ( 0.06) | 38.02% ( 0.1) |
Both teams to score 60.08% ( -0.24) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.33% ( -0.31) | 42.67% ( 0.31) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
34.93% ( -0.31) | 65.07% ( 0.3) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.41% ( -0.22) | 22.59% ( 0.22) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.8% ( -0.33) | 56.2% ( 0.33) |
Monaco Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.62% ( -0.08) | 22.38% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.11% ( -0.13) | 55.89% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Rennes | Draw | Monaco |
2-1 @ 8.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.52% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.6% ( 0) 3-1 @ 4.15% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.11% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 2.77% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 1.54% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.16% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.35% Total : 37.61% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.27% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.06% ( 0.07) 3-3 @ 1.55% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.24% Total : 24.37% | 1-2 @ 8.43% ( 0.02) 0-1 @ 7.57% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.67% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 4.21% ( -0) 2-3 @ 3.13% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 2.83% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.57% ( -0) 2-4 @ 1.17% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.06% ( 0) Other @ 2.4% Total : 38.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 16 | 12 | 4 | 0 | 44 | 14 | 30 | 40 |
2 | Marseille | 15 | 9 | 3 | 3 | 32 | 18 | 14 | 30 |
3 | MonacoMonaco | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 26 | 16 | 10 | 30 |
4 | Lille | 15 | 7 | 6 | 2 | 25 | 15 | 10 | 27 |
5 | Lyon | 15 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 25 |
6 | Nice | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 24 |
7 | Lens | 15 | 6 | 6 | 3 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 24 |
8 | Auxerre | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 23 | 23 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Toulouse | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Reims | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 20 |
11 | Brest | 15 | 6 | 1 | 8 | 24 | 27 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Rennes | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 17 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 25 | 27 | -2 | 17 |
14 | NantesNantes | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 14 |
15 | Angers | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 14 | 26 | -12 | 13 |
16 | Saint-EtienneSt Etienne | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 34 | -22 | 13 |
17 | Le HavreLe Havre | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 11 | 29 | -18 | 12 |
18 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 15 | 38 | -23 | 9 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |